I've been thinking more about this AI stuff in terms of industry impact. What I think will happen is that upward mobility will stall for a lot of devs (no more promotions), and there will be no new devs coming in.

Part of improving yourself is knowing that, one day, you'll likely pass your knowledge, responsibility, and more on to another person so you can pursue new and different challenges.

You'll essentially see folks stuck on a treadmill going nowhere until they fall off.

@khalidabuhakmeh It's so hard to see where all this is going really. A lot of end scenarios are nothing anyone should long for.
@ThibaultDu I agree, the end scenarios will dehumanize it all.
@khalidabuhakmeh Even scenarios where GenAI was just hype bubble suck. Like the economy would crash so bad we can't root for that either.
This is, in my opinion and to date, the best possible outcome:
https://phpc.social/@preinheimer/116081169786071628
Paul Reinheimer (@[email protected])

If an "AI" company can sell you access to software that will replace a $250k/year software engineer. They're going to charge $249k/year for it. That's how capitalism works. Well, they're going to charge $20k/year at first, during the land rush phase. Wait for some competitors to die off. Keep it low a while longer to kill off the incumbents. Then it'll jump up a bunch, before finally being even more expensive than the original thing. See also: Uber & AirBnB.

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