Mastodawn

Unpopular opinion and I expect there will be a lot of pushback on it, but what's a good (polite) debate if not enlightening?

Do you know how your washing machine works? (If yes, keep quiet for those who don't.)
If the answer's no, you do know one thing though I suspect. You know that you trust it to wash your clothes because well, that's what it's designed to do.
If you're not a mechanic and yet you drive, you trust that when you do all the right things and push the right buttons, your vehicle is going to move forward and get you to places. If something breaks, do you attempt to tinker with it and fix it? Maybe, but more likely you go to someone who does know.
What's my point then?
AI coding. Humans made a thing that allows non-programmers to have an idea. They can write that idea in great detail and from there, have something returned that they should of course test thoroughly and if they like it, maybe they share it.
The washing machine is similar but not the same. If you put in your powder/detergent and the right colour of clothes and tell it to start, you let it do it's thing. It washes your clothes and hopefully when you're wearing them at an important meeting, they don't suddenly fall apart, because someone beta-tested that machine ahead of you getting it, and made sure that it didn't rip the seems of your clothes silently, deadly, badly.
AI programs need to be tested the same as your expensive machine, probably many aren't. That is a problem, but the underlying idea of AI code itself being dismissed out-of-hand seems an odd one, at least to me.
Maybe because there's more scope for badness, maybe because you only ever hear the results of all the bad things going on. Like Amazon reviews, the majority of what you see are people unhappy with the product. For every unhappy person there's probably a thousand that just get on with it.
Same for AI badness. For every bad experience, there's probably a few hundred situations where someone made a thing, it just works, nobody cares but you'll never know.
Basically I feel that we maybe need to take a step back, review our hate, our personal biases a tiny bit and stop crapping all over people for doing things a different way that isn't *your* way.
Before automatic washing machines we had manual ones that took a lot more effort, and before that, people washing by-hand. They probably felt exactly the same. The cycle (if you'll pardon the pun) repeats throughout the centuries and will continue to do so, likely forever.
New thing comes along, people hate it, old way was better.
New way becomes old way, new thing comes along, people hate it, old way was better.

Shout at me as you wish.
PS. Wasn't written with aI.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj The analergy is a little flawed because you're comparing an end user to a developer. If I create a washing machine and have no idea how it works and give it to people and things break and I then have no idea how to fix them, that's on me. Any end user using any program may not know how it's going to work, but they can go to the manufacturer, outline their problems and hopefully get fixes, work-arounds or bug fixes.

@JustinMac84 You can go back to your coding agent and outline the problems and if done right, get fixes too. Not always, and not always well, but that's what testing's for isn't it?

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj So you receive a support ticket, negotiate with your user, while simultaneously submitting a support ticket to your AI of choice and negotiating with that. If you can't duplicate the problem the user is having, what would you do? You wouldn't know how to advise them and would have to pass on every piece of possibly incorrect, possibly unsafe advice the model gave you and await feedback from the user. Exponentially grow that problem for every bug

@JustinMac84 Yep, but if there were such a thing as fiver for coding instead of music, same thing would apply there. Humans could be just as devious, make something that looks good and works on the outside, steals your crypto on the inside. Not nice.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj I don't understand the point. There is Fiver for coding. You can commission people to produce software for you. Thing is, human-coded software, the culpability can be traced back. Imagine my shock, my horror, my outrage, when you told me the software I had my model produce for you introduced vulnerabilities! However did that happen? there's no way for you to prove that I didn't do it on purpose or that the model didn't mess up.

@JustinMac84 Sure, but I think you're doing what most people do right now, absolute, absolute worse-case scenario. I don't know why people do this honestly, other than if it scores points, but OK, point made. It could be terrible. It could be catastrophic but... What if it just isn't? What if it simply does the job it's intended to do?

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj I don't think it is worst case scenario. Worst case would be bad acting; second worst case would be unintentionally introduced vulnerabilities that allowed other bad actors; third worst case would be software that messes up your machine; fourth worst case would be incompatibility with certain setups and bugs.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj The point is that the quotes developer, who has outsourced all the skill to a stochastic parrot, has no idea how to fix any of those issues without arduous, lengthy back and forth that may introduce even more problems. Would you do that to a customer? Andre, I'm having this problem. Knowing that consulting an LLM is like rolling a dice, albeit a weighted dice and you wouldn't know if the answer was right or wrong,

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj would you still pass on the magic 8-ball solution?

I'm sorry you feel that these arguments are an attempt to point score. They are not. In fact, your post is very topical. there is an article, just today, doing the rounds about Amazon having a high level meeting about a spate of outages affecting its business due to AI coding. A trillion dollar company is suffering because of this.

@JustinMac84 And that's on them. If those higherups are too stupid to properly test, that is a they problem. I can only speak for myself but I spend hours, sometimes days after getting a thing made, testing to the very best of my ability and I always ask my, as you put it, 'stochastic parrot' to write out a document detailing all steps.
I'm even more than happy to share the chats I have with it, I hide nothing.
I'm not doing this seriously, more for fun and that's it.
I'm just so tired of the massive amount of negativity around a thing. If one lives life like that, I pity them. I can't do it.
There's more to life than hate, than sadness, than negative vibes.

@JustinMac84 You're not even wrong, because clearly you've done all the reading, read all the bad press, and it vindicates your own bias about it (which goes back to my post in itself) and that's absolutely your choice to make. I'm not going to change your mind. I just think it's sad that before we can enjoy a new technology, we have to crap all over it first. It happens in all sectors when a new thing comes on the scene.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj It's all about acceptable risk. If you and your circle are happy within the software that AI can produce, that's great. A business footing is different and I myself, if producing a marketable product would be unhappy to feedback to a user saying, I don't know what's wrong, I can't repplicate your problem, my AI model has suggested this, it might work it might not. I would also be unhappy with that level of uncertainty and support as a user.

@JustinMac84 I've had people report back to me 'xyz' didn't work, I got it fixed. I'm just making addons though, not software to control military aircraft.

@JustinMac84 today I even heard that someone was using my addon to make money. Happy for them. Never thought that would be a thing but why not?

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj Opposing tech for the sake of opposing tech is stupid. I would hesitate before describing a breadth of profound and, most importantly, substantiated concerns as negativity and hate though. I would argue that charging wrecklessly into the adoption of a technology, without considering all the ramifications is equally foolish. For me it's not about black and white no-one should use this stuff, it's about how the stuff is used.

@JustinMac84 Of course it is. If I made a thing, didn't even give it a single test and threw it out there and it killed someone's machine, that is terribly irresponsible. You haven't come up with a single good usecase so far though, your entire response to the thread has been:
Amazon screwed up, you could screw up, people are screwing up. your brand would suck if...

That's putting problems and limits right at the door before you even step out of the house.
Me, I can't live that way. I think trying a thing and seeing if all it does is suck, is better than not knowing at all.
Taking other people's word for it, and again *only* seeing the bad in a thing, well it speaks for itself.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj If Microsoft, a staunch proponent of AI itself is publishing studies demonstrating that AI causes cognitive atrophy, a reduction in critical thinking skills; if Amazon itself is falling over badly generated AI code; if the BBC is testing chat bots and noting sometimes a 50% failure rate; if proper programmers are noticing the cumulative and most importantly hidden errors AI coders are generating...

@JustinMac84 I rest my case. You just made all my points for me right there.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj that is missing the point of my argument. The issue is not that you might screw up. Bugs, with all the permutations, compatibility issues etc are absolutely and completely inevitable. It's not the screw-ups that worry me. It's how the screw-ups happened and how the screw-ups are dealt with, as appropriate, that concern me.

@JustinMac84 If you let it concern you. If people don't fix things they're putting out, if what they're putting out sucks so bad it hurts, kills people, don't go near it. ever. You're absolutely not wrong for that.

Noel Romey Mar 10

@Onj @JustinMac84 Thing is, I think you can have it both ways. If I write code, I make sure I know how it works and how it's created. AI is a tool for me. It saves me time. But I do know how it works, I'm an engineer and I've coded stuff by hand. I play piano ... not as good as you. I know you've used Suno or other tools to play with AI and its creativity. Would you accept a piece of music that AI made as yours? When I make things with code, I involve myself with the process, but I know I don't have time to do what I did today and write 5000 lines of it. I give it attribution as my assistant to as a writer in my code and in my application. I do, however, and will always, be able to break it apart, know what code was written, and be able to solve the problems that inevitably will come. Because I use AI as a tool to make something of the form of an application work. Without some knowledge of programming though, I would never release it because I know that it or some portion of it will break. What I'm saying is that Ai should be used with care. Know what it's maaking. Understand how it works. And for goodness sake, don't do what I know you don't do but others often do and rather than going to Google to search if something has been made that solves your problem, you employ AI to write you a program to do it. For me that's too risky, and if I've found an application that has had thousands of people run it, try to break it, push it to its limits, I'll use it more fully. I can write svupport for said app. But for the person who would rather AI a solution but does not know how their new solution works, eventually they'll get a call, know nothing of why its breaking on person B's computer, ask AI about it, be confused because AI no longer has the background that allowed it to make the thing. To make this ... thing ... shorter, just be careful. Learn about your code and how it works, you'll thank me later.g or

@ner @JustinMac84 No because I'm probably a hypocrite. If I prompt Suno to make something based on an idea it isn't mine but I could probably learn to play it. Coding feels different. It's not. I know that in my head but it feels more wholesome. I cannot explain why, and I have zero reason for thinking so.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj @ner Props for the honesty. But then we come to the interesting question of at what point does something become yours. Hans Zimmer, John Williams, they write pieces. They tell the orchestra what to play. At what point is the prompt detailed enough for the same ownership to be legitimate, when you're just telling the AI what to play?

@JustinMac84 @ner Lol that's too deep and I don't know. What I know is that AI coding is fulfilling a mad dream I had as a kid to have a thing made that I wanted made, even if I couldn't do it. People say the same about music with Suno. If it makes them happy, why not?
Musicians often worry they'll be put out of a job. Not me.
I know what I can bring to the table. I know my skills, the way I play is mine, and even if an AI trained on my material I could still switch it up, so I don't fear, honestly. I know many do.
Nothing to do with this discussion really but adjacent.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj @ner I've always wanted to know your take on this. Take live gigging out of the equation completely because AI can't do that yet. Pretend I don't know you. How do you feel about the following attitude and imagine it becoming more prevalent. Why would I want to listen to, much less buy Andre's music, when I can just generate my own? Why should I hire him for a project requiring recorded music for the same reason?

@JustinMac84 @ner Great question and my take on it is this:
You listen to whatever makes you happy, and you buy whatever makes you happy. If that isn't me, that's absolutely fine.
I am one of hundreds and thousands of musicians that learnt to play a particular way, and sometimes it's hard to break out of that way. AI can do what we cannot because it's trained on us hundreds and thousands, and approximate/amalgamate what it learnt, into something you want to hear.
You may not like the sound choices, so you can spend time directing it and hope it produces what you want, and if that makes you smile, that's what music should do.

I'm in a very small minority when I say that, but AI music is here to stay. The good, the bad and the terribly ugly. I've heard it all.
Eventually it will become so good you won't be able to tell it apart from real-made stuff but real made stuff is still going to get made anyway, regardless because some of us love what we do and will keep doing it.

I'm not angry, I'm not mad, I'm not arguing. I only speak for myself when I say all of that, but truly, having had AI create some stonkingly good bangers from my own uploaded material, I'd be a terrible liar if I said I hated it.

@JustinMac84 @ner I hate the shit stuff. Utterly loathe it. The thing is, a lot of pubs and clubs use AI-generated stuff now because they don't have to pay copyright on it, but it's all generated from what seems to be the same generic 'Musac in a lift' template, never anything really groundbreaking. That pisses me off. It really does. It could be the good stuff but it never, ever is.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj @ner I hadn't even thought of that application. Losing out to a better or different musician, that's fair competition. Don't you feel mad that a robot that can soullessly churn out a thousand units to your one might dent your income stream and devalues your effort?

@JustinMac84 @ner I felt like walking out of the place when, after just 30 or so minutes, the beginning of their shit playlist came around again. If I wasn't playing (live music on the stage in there) that night, I'd have taken my business elsewhere.
As for me personally, I make such a pittance from music, it hasn't bothered my bottom line. The people that do like my stuff is a very very small crowd but they're my biggest and bestest fans and I'm honoured and privileged that they exist at all. I make more teaching one student for one hour than I make across my entire catalogue probably in a month.

@JustinMac84 @ner Scratch that, probably 6 months to be honest.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj @ner I admire your resilience and open-mindedness. I think I'd feel an existential crisis if I thought no-one might care what I had to say any more.

@JustinMac84 @ner Have you ever tested making sounds with Eleven Labs? I have. It's fun, but not gonna take away from what you/I do. I still get commissions to make things, so make things I do and I sincerely hope you are too.

Nicks World Mar 10

@Onj @JustinMac84 @ner My brother @leonianuniverse makes AI music and its not like he uses 1 prompt and does it. No, he takes hours and days on it so he gets the exact sound he wants. He uses advanced features to do this and every song that he's made sounds like him because its his lyrics and his feelings in the music, the only thing that isn't him is the instrumental parts and the singing, both of which he has not much experience doing nor does he have the thousands of dollars it would no doubt take to hire someone like Andre to make happen professionally.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@NicksWorld @Onj @ner I think my feelings, which while nuanced, do trend strongly in a particular direction about AI, are well documented to the extent that, sadly, I have lost followers etc. I will say though that my GF makes Suno music and she does it brilliantly. My larger, societal worries persist, but she really makes it do what she wants and has produced great stuff that is from her that I love.

Nicks World Mar 10

@JustinMac84 @Onj @ner Justin, you're a civilized person and make your points in a way where I'm not offended. I also like that you at least consider that your girlfriend makes suno music and does it in a way that is indeed hers, and don't make trouble for her by saying that what she does isn't valid because its partly computer generated.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@NicksWorld @Onj @ner Validity was never my issue. Suno can, if grabbed by the horns, make excellent stuff. Even if she weren't my GF, I'd still enjoy it. She puts time, effort and direction into it, therefore it's hers. It's still based on large scale theft and she knows that and all my other feelings about it, but she also knows that I think her music, and people's like it, are roses that grow from concrete.

Noel Romey Mar 10

@Onj @JustinMac84 I just did / tested a training for work. I could tell that they used an AI voice to do what we've been telling them, the accessibility office bitches at them when they don't provide narrated content. It made me mad in a weird kinda way, because I know that there's a few people who make a living, or did, reading boring ass training that is produced by the contract, good money. And now, I can guarantee you that they're not making that money because now they can have a reasonably good reading of boring stuff. People used to do things by hand. It took ten times more to make a thingy than it does now with tech. AI will continue to lessen that labor requirement. If I made code as a living, I'm not sure how I would feel—you still need coders in my opinion to make really good software. But a junior software engineer learns by coding. I guess we'll just have to continue to adjust, cause tech will continue to get better and better each day. The days of well-built, solid "stuff" thathat's cheap just don't exist no more.

@ner @JustinMac84 Funny, my dad wanted an ad produced recently and wanted me to voice it. I hate doing VoiceOver work. I'm absolutely fine behind a camera, doing workshops and presentations but reading script and saying it like I actually care, no thank you.
I took a voice clone of myself and had an Eleven Labs version of me speak it and it just got it right! He was happy, I was happy, moved on.
I did put some of my own music behind it as a bakcing too. lol

Noel Romey Mar 10

@Onj @JustinMac84 That is funny, sad, and hilarious all rolled up into one.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@ner @Onj I'll be honest, I have considered using AI to anonymise my content so people can't scrape my voice and clone it for profit.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj @ner Who's Andre? Never got to hear about him because his one album every 3, 6 or 12 months, whatever, is buried under a hundred weight of people generating an album a day. I've always wondered what your take on that side of things is.

Noel Romey Mar 10

@Onj @JustinMac84 I can't say that about my code. I feel kind of janky using it, but it gets the job done and I'm super transparent that I worked with Claude to make the thing. Big difference though, I know how it works, to the centilla. That's how I get around feeling like a fraud in a developer costume. I can directly tell Claude that i think the issue is somewhere in x.cs in the abc method of the blarp object. And we fix it, move on.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@ner @Onj Absolutely this. I think knowing how to code and then using AI as a boost is fine, a big step up. It's putting it in the driver's seat and everyone else being the passengers that I have a problem with.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj to say nothing of the implications for livelihoods and the environment, don't you thinkk that weight of evidence, already amassing when AI is so young, is worth listening to and being mindful of, rather than dismissing it as negativity and hate. The jaenie is out of the bottle now. It's never going away. wishing it so is pointless. Doesn't mean we have to accept the jaenie as is though. Doesn't mean we can't hold out for better.

@JustinMac84 You won't get better if we stop it in it's tracks. Remember the size of computers when we were young? Talk to your grandparents and ask them the size of computers back then. They had to start out like junk before they got down to the smaller than fingernail size we can produce now.
New things have to suck before they don't.
Old things learnt how not to suck by sucking in the beginning.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj But again, you're over-simplifying my argument. No-one said anything about stopping anything in its tracks. I believe I was quite clear that AI isn't going away, nor should it. Carrying on regardless, "yes there are a bunch of nay-sayers and we're already seeing the ways things are going wrong and people losing their jobs etc, but fuck it, they're just pooping the party, bunch of miseries,"

@JustinMac84 I'm not oversimplifying anything, I'm stating a fact. You're taking it as a personal slight. The 'You' in my statement is not personally directed, it is just a thing.
I also agree with your last post, so that could hardly be oversimplifying could it?
Ethical AI is important.
Stuff that is going to be used to kill people, autonomous robots controled by AI, that is not your friend or anybody's friend. WE need to push for that to be banned and quickly.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj I assumed your propenultimate post was a response to my argument. I don't feel slighted, just want you to understand that I regard banning all ai ever as impractical, unworkable and not necessarily beneficial. I do however feel that we are adopting it at a wreckless pace and that things like cognitive atrophy; accute job loss; inaccurate decisions, information and unreliable products; environmental destruction

@JustinMac84 I personally like the idea that the CEO of Claud basically told trump to 'go fuck yourself' but not in those words, because they didn't want to build no-control robots to spy on the US and whatever else might come of that. Good for him.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj Absolutely agree with you there. and also, I am glad that people are making money off the tools you create. That is cool. My only intent in replying was to assert that I think there's a difference in requirements and responsibility between someone who owns a thing like a washing machine and the people who make a thing. I also think that we need to listen to the science and not be in such a hurry.

@JustinMac84 You know that thing in the 90's, was it the ESRB which was the board for rating video games?
We need a modern something for that with regards AI. comprehensive, third-party independent testing that come up with a proper rating standard and some kind of scale for energy use and many more things that I'm not qualified to think of.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj and people being forced to bear the cost of data centres etc, worrying about these things is not negativity or hate, it is common, rational sense.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj or stop everything, ban AI forever, don't have to be the only options. We could appropriate regulate, investigate, move more slowly and get a healthy AI with a more significant net benefit.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj Proliferating the ability to produce software to many many more people just exponentially increases the possibility for mallice, unintentional vulnerabilities and incompetence. At least the hacker in your example is human, therefore can be blamed and had to invest a lot of time to get skilled. Do they want to blow that investment on bad acting?

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj Whereas an abusive partner could quite happily blow a day's effort to produce a tracker, key logger or other piece of malicious software with which to infect a partner, ex or rival business.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj But anyway, this doesn't address your original point, my answer to which is that it's fine for an end user to have no idea how their product works and not to be able to fix it unaided, much less so for a dev or business supplying something they have no ideaabout to people.

@JustinMac84 Lol come on now, businesses supply whatever to people all the time and how hard is it to get help with whatever it is when all the people you talk to are just people working there for work experience or something? We've probably all seen it. No excuse but you know it's true.

Justin Macleod Mar 10

@Onj Yes it's hard, because paying skilled people that are actually encouraged to want to talk to people eats into profit margins and tech companies don't want to talk to people. But that's a systemic, a logistical problem. A company with good customer service and/or enough complaints/risk to brand, will have skilled people to fix the problem efficiently. I don't think the answer or argument is the bar is low so let's make it lower.