AI Bubble will Pop
AI Bubble will Pop
Sodtware dev here. I am good at it, and people pay me unreasonably high rates to come in and do things faster and better than they can.
It AI coding tools were useful, I’d use them.
AI slows me down twice:
I have yet to see an AI adopter who actually gets shit done in a way that is meaningful to anyone exept their own psychotic selves.
60% productivity loss whenever I try to use it for anything else than a code search engine.
Even I as amateur Python dev am able to notice this. It’s basically a nicer (and more resource-intensive) StackOverflow for basic questions when your brain lags again or you’re stuck with how a library is documented (looking at you GTK). The best thing you can do with LLMs is not integrate it into your IDE but just have it open in a browser tab, and never ever copy anything out of it. Saves money, time and IQ points.
Also worth mentioning: It’s extremely noticeable how different US companies tuned their models (unfortunately chinese models widely copied them). I was curious due to the whole Digital Independence things going on in the EU and did some tests with Mistral (EU) vs. ChatGPT (US).
My core takeaways:
Basically the US models are made to be as addictive and ruthlessly profitable as possible, always giving you something while sugarcoating your mistakes (even if that’s wrong). It’s gambling. Those who’re celebrating these things might already be psychologically addicted without realising it.
(This doesn’t mean Mistral is great, just not as awful. Their tiny models are already used in weapons in Ukraine, and it’s still AI that sucks the planet dry)
@[email protected] @[email protected] **Mistral: two blocked requests.** Cloudflare Insights ("is the site up") and a single Intercom beacon POST that didn't even retry. that's it. no Statsig. no tracking GIFs. no Google Analytics. no distributed tracing. no proof-of-work challenge. no `KETCHUP_DISCOVERY_CARD`. nothing. a French AI company nobody talks about is running the cleanest frontend in the entire field by a factor of roughly 150x and we're all sleeping on it les français ont tout compris #mistral #privacy #infosec
Agreed, I use AI for coding the way I used to use Stack Overflow:
Find me code examples, explain an error or give me some summaries of how something should work but then I go confirm that or test it separately!
I never trusted Stack Overflow for anything more than pointing me in the right direction for what to research. Documentation links, snippets, blogs etc, that sort of stuff. As long as I tell the AI to give me a reference, about 60-70% of the time I’ll get something I can actually use to confirm the code it gave me or get an answer for my question. At best what it does is save me googling time.
At best what it does is save me googling time.
At the expense of vastly higher resource use.
I value my finite time more than I value a few Watt-Hours.
You could go to your local library and read through a bunch of books rather than using Google if you’re interested in more power savings ideas.