Matthew SheffieldMar 1

In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

Show threadpLMar 1
@mattsheffield F-22s were spotted in Israel on like Thursday. Was a pretty safe guess.
Show threadel Celio 🇪🇺 🇺🇦
@pl @mattsheffield
it could have been March 1st
Mar 1 at 7:12pmWeb
Show threadpLMar 1
@elCelio @mattsheffield I don't use whatever that platform is but it'd be interesting to see if it had any other "attack by" bets, although that'd ruin the whole conspiracy thing