In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.

Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.

Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.

@mattsheffield @mattsheffield wow, and yikes. One would think there would be laws, but alas we forgot to care meaningfully about the rule of law or common sense recently

...Though that doesn't stop LLMs from being terrible for humanity too 😁

@quinn @mattsheffield there are indeed laws. At least in the UK.
@DoctorDNS @mattsheffield pretty sure you guys don't have any laws governing polymatket.
@quinn @mattsheffield we have gambling laws. These prohibit polymarket in the UK. To trade, they would need a gambling license which they do not currently hold. They even do geofencing. So your assertion us incorrect.
@DoctorDNS @mattsheffield sorry, what I mean is there's no law stopping Brits from gambling on polymarket and other prediction betting stuff. You'd probably have to at least try to geofence it to manage that.