In case you were wondering, before this morning's Iran attack, Polymarket had yet another spate of likely inside traders betting that the US would strike Iran by February 28.
Per the due diligence investigation service Bubblemaps, the wallets used were first used 24 hours earlier.
Betting prediction websites are national security risks, not Anthropic.
Once the correlation between betting markets and future real world news is established and widely known, what will be the real world consequences when large bets are placed in order to trigger certain preemptive military responses?
@patatas @mattsheffield @timjan Ever heard of Jim Bell's "Assassination Politics"?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Bell#%22Assassination_Politics%22_essay
Matthew Sheffield
Timjan
patatas
SlightlyCyberpunk