i do not want to get into the business of posting LLM takes but very briefly:

It feels clear to me that some people* are getting value out of using LLMs for programming. Basically see https://simonwillison.net/'s whole blog. If I think about it purely on the basis of "in a vacuum, can this help me write programs", it seems like an exciting technology.

BUT...

(1/?)

(* it also feels clear that some people are NOT getting value out of LLMs, hoping to avoid flamewars about that please)

@b0rk Even if I don't always trust Google's motives, I remind myself that a lot of the problems we, and they face, are because "counterparties" are working against both them and us.

If Google had done nothing but try to preserve page rank through the AI onslaught, could that have even worked?

I'm not sure. Page rank worked best with honest pages. As soon as someone wanted to convey the same information that was out there, but with higher page rank, it started to go downhill