AI could wipe out most white-collar jobs within 12 months, Microsoft AI chief warns

https://lemmy.nz/post/34285888

AI could wipe out most white-collar jobs within 12 months, Microsoft AI chief warns - Lemmy NZ

Lemmy

What a crock of shit. We all know that’s what they want, but it’s not happening.
Until the AI results can be trusted, I don’t see how this happens. I’ve been using AI for some questions that would normally be on stackoverflow but I don’t find code generation to save me time. Because I can’t implicitly trust the product, I still have to review the code before I can use it. If I have to review and understand it, it rarely saves me time. There have been edge cases where it helped me in some areas, like turning a CSV into a visual report in PDF format but I still had to review everything. It just happens that I suck as report tools so it was a shorter amount of time for me to review the AI report than to put together visualizations myself.

You’re not using it correctly. You’re supposed to vibecode the entire application by defining good parameters. You don’t debug or fix stuff, you just iterate. You just make a new application with revised parameters.

If you tell the LLM “this is bad, make it better”, it will have the bad thing im it’s context and it will therefor try to make the bad thing again.

Instead, if it makes a mistake,you throw out the whole thing and start over witg revised parameters.

This will save us money in the short run. In the long run… who cares.

if you tell the LLM “this is bad, make it better”, it will have the bad thing im it’s context and it will therefor try to make the bad thing again.

You forgot “/s” I tried that a few times. With and without welling what’s wrong. After 3-5 times it gives you the first solution it offered. Tell them that and it ignores it.

Tell them that and it ignores it.

You can’t trust that it’s impossible by it’s architecture like if you tell it reset your memory… and it will simulate that it forgot, but it didn’t and it will affect all prompts

This is way all models easily leak their system prompts.

I’d offer a small correction: that ain’t happening as long as companies are liable for the AI’s work. If companies can just blame the model and get away with a fine that’s less than the savings, they absolutely will take that deal. Keep companies accountable and the bubble will burst
Fuel that bubble, bud. It’s running out of soap.
That guy has jokes. He should headline the next Saudi comedy fest!
“…so you’d better not ask for a raise!” is the unspoken addition to that quote.
Could…doesn’t mean will (albeit not from lack of trying)

It’s always in the next 6 months, 12 months, and then time passes and the claim keeps getting remade.

They just want investment hype.

It’s always in the next 6 months, 12 months, and then time passes and the claim keeps getting remade.

Techbro version of rapture/apocalypse

Just 6 more months bro, trust me. Please bro just 6 more month and it’ll happen bro
just one more data centre’s gonna do it! just give me a couple million more bucks!
Tesla will drive autonomously soon, before 2018, promise.
So he’s searching a blue-collar position now? I’ve heard farmers are short-handed, so if he got his papers in order …
Luckily, another fact is true: AGI (A guy instead (with a gun)@) could wipe out the Microsoft AI chief within 12 months too!
How about you make your OS able to update itself without bricking then we can talk about revolutionizing the world, eh?
I see AI as a working animal. It can do some specific things much better than us humans which is why we use them. But you can’t trust them without a human handler.
The same Chief who said they needed to find something useful with their product or risk public backlash?
While it’s true anyone that has asked an LLM a question about a field they are an expert in knows this is bullshit, your bosses boss can likely be convinced otherwise.
… Says the person whose entire net worth is entirely determined by how much AI bullshit and myth he can spread around amongst the rubes…. I was recently sent this absolute fever dream which itself was poorly generated by AI for maximum irony.
Something Big Is Happening

A personal note for non-tech friends and family on what AI is starting to change.

matt shumer
Another, “trust me, bro” article to keep that bubble pumped just another week
It’s hilarious how the AI-pushing CEOs have determined that the best way of selling more subscriptions is to act like a terrified chihuahua pissing itself because of how super strong and scary they pretend their product is.
is he talking about his own job?
He’s already been overboarded.

hey microsoft

🖕

sincerely, everyone

Mmhmm yes, snake oil salesman, tell me more about how your snake oil is going to cure capitalism. I believe you.
Not before it wipes it windows.

Counter point: It won’t.

This is like being told you could win $100M when handed a lottery ticket. There is a lot of weight on the word could.

Except in this case the lottery doesn’t exist, the ticket is a fake, and we’re all about to be screwed when the bubble does burst.

So, in a way, he’s right. A lot of white collar (and blue collar and no collar) jobs could be gone in 12 months, due to the bubble popping. Nice of him to put his name out there now so we know who’s to blame.

I mean they are right. If Microsoft keeps using AI to develop their product there will be no more white-collar jobs at Microsoft.
…said some dumbass executive, while masturbating furiously at the fantasy.
Let’s replace him with an AI. Let’s hang an ugly leather jacket up in a datacenter and replace Jensen Huang while we’re at it.

Hahahahahaha. My firm is so overworked thanks to work cleaning aftwr AI related fuckups that we are often triple booked or more.

If this keeps up, gray beards are going to retire in luxury thanks to this AI bullshit.

“AI is going to do this very big thing” - someone heavily invested in AI.

This isn’t a warning, this is a sales pitch.

  • No it won’t.
  • Anyone who frames LLMs as ‘intelligence’ is betraying they don’t understand what they’re talking about.
  • Any work a LLM can perform effectively is work no human should be performing.
  • could you explain little bit more

    Any work a LLM can perform effectively is work no human should be performing.

    LLMs are a tool with vanishingly narrow legitimate and justifiable use cases. If they can prove to be truly effective and defensible in an application, I’m OK with them being used in targeted ways much like any other specialised tool in a kit.

    That said, I’m yet to identify any use of LLMs today which clears my technical and ethical barriers to justify their use.

    My experience to date is the majority of ‘AI’ advocates are functionally slopvangelical LLM thumpers, and should be afforded respect and deference equivalent to anyone who adheres to a faith I don’t share.

    What do you think about these;

    Translation Grammar Text editing Categorization Summarization OCR
    Not OP. I wouldn’t call myself tech savvy but, suggesting categorization of files on my computer sounds kinda nice. I just can’t trust these clowns to keep all my data local.
    There is some providers with Zero Data Retention you can check on OpenRouter
    OCR isn’t a large language model. That’s why sometimes with poor quality scans or damaged text you get garbled nonsense from it. It’s not determining the statistically most likely next word, it’s matching input to possible individual characters.
    I mean using LLMs fof OCR like (Gemini 3 Flash or Kimi K2.5)

    Translation isn’t as easy as easy as just take the word and replace with another word from different language with same definition. I mean yes a technical document or something similar can be translated word for word. But, Jokes, songs and a lot more things differ from culture to culture. Sometimes author chooses a specific word in a certain language based on certain culture which can be interpreted in multiple ways to reveal hidden meaning for readers.

    And sometimes to convey the same emotion to a reader from different language and culture we need to change the text heavily.

    I remember the Babelizer from the early internet, where you would input a piece of text, and the Babelizer would run it through five or six layers of translation, like from English to Chinese to Portuguese to Russian to Japanese and back to English again, and the results were always hilariously nonsense that only vaguely resembled the original text.

    One of the first things I did with a LLM was to replicate this process, and if I’m being honest, it does a much better job of processing that text through those multiple layers and coming out with something that’s still fairly reasonable at the far end. I certainly wouldn’t use it for important legal documents, geopolitical diplomacy, or translating works of poetry or literature, but it does have uses in cases where the stakes aren’t too high.

    LLMs can’t perform any of those functions, and the output from tools infected with them and claim to, can intrinsically only ever be imprecise, and should never be trusted.
    you’re right thank you you chanced my opinion lemmy.zip/post/59083587
    My opinon of AI has changed - Lemmy.zip

    I was going to argue with someone about giving and example how llms able to perform tasks, example task: convert this plain text into structured markdown table :::: spoiler the plain text NewsRSS / Atom feeds for <1>All</1>, <2>Subscribed</2>, <3>Inbox</3>, <4>User</4>, and <5>Community</5>. Lemmy Release v0.19.15 and Testing for 1.0 2025-12-24 Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is completely free and o… Lemmy Release 0.19.14 2025-12-08 Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is completely free and o… Lemmy Release 0.19.13 2025-09-10 Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is completely free and o… Lemmy Release 0.19.12 2025-06-13 Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is completely free and o… Lemmy Release v0.19.11 2025-04-08 Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is completely free and o… Lemmy Release v0.19.10 and Developer AMA 2025-03-19 Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is completely free and o… Lemmy Release v0.19.9 2025-02-10 Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is completely free and o… Breaking Changes in Lemmy 1.0 2025-02-03 If you use any apps, frontends or bots for Lemmy, please help us out by notifying the developers ab… Lemmy Release v0.19.8 2024-12-12 Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is completely free and o… Lemmy Release v0.19.7 2024-11-15 Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is completely free and o… Lemmy Release v0.19.6 2024-11-08 Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is completely free and o… New NLnet funding for Lemmy 2024-09-11 Now we have good news, a new round of funding was approved for a total of € 50.000. For the first t… Lemmy Release v0.19.5 2024-06-19 A Few Bugfixes Lemmy Release v0.19.4 2024-06-07 Image Proxying and Federation improvements Lemmy Release v0.19.3 2024-01-22 A Few Bugfixes Lemmy Release v0.19.2 2024-01-10 More Federation Fixes Lemmy Release v0.19.1 2023-12-20 Outgoing Federation fix Lemmy Release v0.19.0 2023-12-15 Instance blocking, Scaled sort, and Federation Queue Join-Lemmy Redesign and Funding Drive 2023-10-31 Intro Some months have passed on since the [Reddit blackout](https://join-lemmy.org/news/2023-06-… [https://join-lemmy.org/news/2023-06-%E2%80%A6] Lemmy Release v0.18.5 2023-09-29 Fix federation for Admin Actions Lemmy Release v0.18.4 2023-08-08 What is Lemmy? Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is comp… Lemmy Release v0.18.3 2023-07-28 What is Lemmy? Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is comp… Lemmy Release v0.18.2 2023-07-11 Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is completely free and o… Lemmy Release v0.18.1 2023-07-07 What is Lemmy? Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is comp… Lemmy Release v0.18.0 2023-06-23 What is Lemmy? Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is comp… Update from Lemmy after the Reddit blackout 2023-06-17 If you are reading this then you most likely know about the recent news from reddit. As a result of… Lemmy Release v0.17.0 2023-01-31 What is Lemmy? Lemmy is a self-hosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is comp… First release of LemmyBB 2022-11-02 We are excited to announce the release of lemmyBB. This is an alternative frontend for Lemmy, based… Bug fixes 2022-09-14- Lemmy Release v0.16.7 A few bug fixes: - Fix missing auth on new post refresh. ([764](https://github.com/LemmyNet/lemmy-… [https://github.com/LemmyNet/lemmy-%E2%80%A6] Lemmy Release v0.16.6 2022-07-19 A few bug fixes Lemmy Release v0.16.4 2022-05-27 Peertube federation, Rust API and other improvements Lemmy Release v0.16.3 2022-04-08 Federation bug fixes Free Lemmy instance hosting 2022-03-17 What is Lemmy? Lemmy is a selfhosted social link aggregation and discussion platform. It is compl… Lemmy Release v0.16.0 2022-03-08 Theming and Federation improvements Lemmy Release v0.15.1 2022-01-12 Private instances, New User Registrations, Email Verification, and Temporary Bans Lemmy Release v0.14.0 2021-11-17 Federation with Mastodon and Pleroma Lemmy Release v0.13.0 2021-09-30 Comment and Post reporting are here! Lemmy.ml [http://Lemmy.ml] now uses open federation 2021-09-04 You no longer have to ask us to add you manually, you can subscribe and interact without the approv… Lemmy Release v0.12.0. User and Community blocking, lean federation, and a whole lot more 2021-09-03 Since our last release in April, we’ve had [~80](https://github.com/LemmyNet/lemmy/compare/0.11.0… [https://github.com/LemmyNet/lemmy/compare/0.11.0%E2%80%A6] Promoting Lemmy 2021-08-09 I think most of us agree that the main problem which Lemmy has today is its lack of users. This is … Lemmy Release v0.11.0 2021-04-27 Since our last release this month, we’ve had [~60](https://github.com/LemmyNet/lemmy/compare/0.10.0… [https://github.com/LemmyNet/lemmy/compare/0.10.0%E2%80%A6] Lemmy v0.10.0 Release 2021-04-05 Changes Since our last release in February, we’ve had [~150](https://github.com/LemmyNet/lemmy/co… [https://github.com/LemmyNet/lemmy/co%E2%80%A6] Lemmy Release v0.9.0 2021-01-25 Changes Since our last release in October of last year, and we’ve had [~450](https://github.com/L… [https://github.com/L%E2%80%A6] Lemmy Release v0.8.0 2020-10-20 Federation beta! NLnet funding, and Lemmy v0.7.0 with new image hosting! 2020-06-23 Let’s start with the biggest news first: Lemmy is receiving funding from the [NLnet foundation](htt… Lemmy Release v0.6.0 2020-01-16 Avatars, email notifications, and a whole lot more Lemmy Release v0.5.0 2019-12-09 RSS feeds, custom language, url archiving, lots of bugs fixed Lemmy Release v0.4.0 2019-11-02 Username mentions, Default sorts, Vaporwave theme, Password Recovery, Arm64 Lemmy Release v0.3.0 2019-10-15 Themes, Auto-Updating front page, perma-deletes, custom rate limits Lemmy Release v0.2.0 2019-09-19 Image Uploads, Stickied Posts, Online Users count, View Source button Lemmy Release v0.1.0 2019-09-06 Emojis, Usable Search urls, mod actions on post creators, UI Tweak :::: (and they did good enough but you know I can’t trust 100%) but then I realize for this task and many many task i used AI can be done with just core linux tools with 100% accuracy with 100% reproducibility and you won’t have any suspicion and it’s free and very fast for this specific one task even a very cheap model Kimi-K2.5 cost $0.006 maybe this looks nothing but this is just one prompt think what if you create an agent that you use everyday (agents cost much more tokens) like if i prompt like this everyday with 100 message in a month it’ll cost - if Moonshot Kimi-K2.5 ----- $18 - if OpenAI GPT-5.2 ----- $93 - if Google Gemini-3-Pro ----- $105 - if Claude Opus 4.6 ----- $200 what the hell??? this text is is not even that big! what if I feed youtube videos, large pdfs, full documentations or translate long texts? maybe I can think “these models will be cheaper” but the problem is not just cost - in best chance it gives good-enough result, not best - it’s just simulate current information and it creates a loop (it’ll always follow current trends) - it’s killing innovation - you can’t reproduce a result - you can’t really trust (simple example: there is a list off apps, one of them is streamio, and you ask a llm to list free apps, but it can hide stremio and you’l never know, ok this was fictional, then here is a real example if you ask “How to block ads on YouTube” some models will not suggest or even not mention Revanced) - it’s making us lazy and irrogant - it’s promote confident but not accurate information - it’s a single-point-of-failure - it’s killing creativity - it’s killing human interaction (think you use an llm to write a email for you and the receiver use a llm to summarize it and use llm to answer that email, than what’s the meaning of communication?) - it’s promoting quick information shots (you can’t summarize somethings, or you can’t eli5 somethings you need to give hard efforts and time, if everyone summarize everything than why we’ll have books, videos, articles… if you summarize something that mean it’s not important for you and looking that is a problem from beginning) From now on I’m starting an experiment for 1 week to see results; * I will not use any AI/LLM * I will block all AI/LLM websites * For help I’ll ask humans

    I mean I think one legitimate use is sifting through massive tranches of information and pulling out everything from a subject. Like if you have these epstein files, whatever is not redacted in the half of the pages they released any of, and you want to pull out all mentions of, say the boss of the company that ultimately owns the company you work for, or the president.

    Propublica uses it for something of that sort anyway they explained how they used it in sifting through tranches of information on one article I read about something a couple of years ago. That seemed like a rare case of where this technology could actually be useful.

    Well it certainly is wiping out Microsoft, so he is not wrong
    Stop making “AI can replace humans” happen. It’s not gonna happen!
    fr I’ve been reading headlines like this for years now, and LLMs are still shit at doing anything other than produce things that superficially look good but rarely stand up to close inspection.
    Expecting that one can improve an automated parrot to the point of getting intelligence is like expecting that one can improve the miming of a door to the point that one gets an actual door.

    No, no, no!

    Keep trying, Microsoft!

    Just put a couple more hundreds of billions into it!

    Don’t trust the naysayers - you’re almost there!

    It’s so noisy big snow storm outside, did the Ms. AI chief of sales say AI bubble burst is less than 12 months away? Seems weird to be that open about how bad things are getting but okay