Currently trying to decide if it's worth driving to a dark sky site tonight (~1 hr drive, I know, I'm super lucky) even though some high clouds are moving in, or if I should wait until tomorrow night, when currently the forecast looks better (but it looked really good for tonight earlier today...the forecasts are not very accurate). There's also a better chance for auroras tomorrow (but those forecasts are even less accurate...)

Hmmmmm

I did go drive out to Bortle 2 skies with my family and it was INCREDIBLE (thanks for encouragement, fediverse).

The only light coming from stars, totally silent except for coyotes, owls, and I think maybe whooping cranes (!!) flying over. Barely any auroras, but the stars were stunning.

(There were a fuck-ton of satellites though, of course)

Going to be really really good auroras the next couple of nights!! https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/geomagnetic-storm-watches-11-13-november
Geomagnetic Storm Watches for 11-13 November | NOAA / NWS Space Weather Prediction Center

G4 (Severe) Watch in Effect for 12 November | NOAA / NWS Space Weather Prediction Center

Here it cooooomes!!!
I... honestly don't really know what most of these plots mean in terms of aurora viewing. But I can see lots of graphs are shooting upwards or downwards quite dramatically! I think that's probably good https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/auroral-activity/real-time-auroral-activity.html
Real-time auroral activity

Below you will find the latest solar wind and interplanetary magnetic field data covering the past 24 hours as measured by the Advanced Explorer (ACE) spacecraft located at the Sun-Earth L1 point. These parameters are the first parameters used to predict auroral activity. The redder the plots get...

SpaceWeatherLive.com
HOLY SHIT THE SKY IS FUCKING INCREDIBLE AAAAHHHHHH WOWWWWWWW

I haven't yelled that many (overwhelmingly excited) swear words at the sky for a long time. WWOOOOOWWWWW. Reddest auroras I've ever seen!! Usually it takes a long time exposure/CCD camera to see red at all. This is BRIGHT!! You can actually see easily outside by aurora light!!!!

Warming up for a few minutes before heading back out

Note the Starlink train in the first picture. How do you like them protons, Musk?!
HOLY @$^@#($!~@#)!!
So much red!!

The auroras were still going strong at 2:30 am, and when I went out at 6 to take care of goats and chickens. Auroras always seem to have a flickery, shimmery quality after midnight. I've never seen that shimmer before midnight, only in the morning hours. Any experts know why?

The auroras slowly disappeared into the lightening dawn sky. Looking forward to more tonight!!

I can't stop thinking about the auroras. That was amazing. And there very likely will be more tonight!! https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/news/g3-strong-geomagnetic-storming-continues-g4-severe-still-expected

...I wonder how it's going up there for Starlink and the other thousands of sats whizzing by each other? 😬

The sky isn't quite dark enough to see if there are auroras yet, but the fucking Starlinks are easy to see. Due to the Starlink main orbital shell configuration, there is almost always a Starlink or two visible crawling across the sky at the same elevation as the North Star from my latitude (lots more in other parts of the sky too... sigh.)

Remember when Starlink publicly and loudly promised they'd get fainter than magnitude 7? That sure would have been nice. Liars.

Hard to tell through a window, but I think the sky looks kinda red again! Time to set up my camera, put on lots of layers, and head outside. Wooo!!!

yes yes Yes YEs YES YES YES!!!

PURPLE! RED! ORANGE!! GREEN!!! WOWWWW

(It was not this bright naked-eye, but these colours are all totally visible! Incredible!)

More more more!
This is looking SOUTH. Holy crap.
Well, this is embarrassing. Looks like I finally cursed at Starlink enough that I managed to open up some kind of portal in VLEO right over my barn. Sorry everybody! I promise I'll help clean up.

@sundogplanets

Leave it!!! It can suck that garbage straight out of this dimension.

@sundogplanets Never stop cursing Starlink! (And I love your post and photo!)
@sundogplanets Enjoy mother Nature's best light show!

@sundogplanets

Beautiful! I'm curious how the animals respond to the aurora.

@TheEddieShow It was bright enough to see last night with the auroras, so I tried leading the goats into the barn without turning a light on for them. They were NOT happy about that. I had to turn the light on. So...I'd say... they're not impressed!
@TheEddieShow
oh great question! Following to read the answer. @sundogplanets
@sundogplanets I wish I didn't know so much about these so that I could just enjoy them. Instead of going "holy fuck there absolutely should not be these colors this far south, please tell me somebody's watching the cable amps."
@rootwyrm Yeah we're well into the "someone should go check on our satellites" range... https://xkcd.com/2233/
Aurora Meaning

xkcd
@sundogplanets by some measures, we're approaching "geophysicists about to lose their shit." Especially since I don't recall anywhere near this many G4's during the '00-'03 window. And these have all been small stuff - X5.1 for tonight, didn't break X9 last year.
@sundogplanets I could definitely see some red through the clouds here in southern Ontario. Unfortunately our forecast is not good... not good at all. Enjoy!
@sundogplanets pretty subdued compared to last night, so far.
@sundogplanets I think Elon should go up there and check it out up close just to make sure everything's alright with his satellites. 😉

@sundogplanets
Some day there will be worse than the Carrington Event.

Too much uses "GPS" just as cheap timing/clock to synchronise instead of using a local clock source. Mobile phone masts, DAB radio, DVB-T, some fibre systems and others.
I've solar panels and about 8000 Wh of LiFePO4 batteries. Also "Ham radio" gear.

@sundogplanets This one looks like an outstretched hand🤩

@sundogplanets I went out to look last night in Calgary, and saw nothing. At 23:00, I could _maybe_ see a faint glow. Friends and family all around the province were awestruck, but our little patio saw nuthin'.

I think they're hiding from me.

@swordgeek @sundogplanets Yes, it became overcast. I some in the early evening before the cloud cover ruined it all.
@sundogplanets @mayintoronto are those sats protected by the magnetosphere?
@sundogplanets Even we know it's a natural phenomena it still stays wondrous to see those colored waves dance in the sky.

@sundogplanets

Pretty sure I'm not showing you anything new, but I was unfamiliar with the details of with how a severe geomagnetic storm might affect starlinks, so I went looking for myself..

.. and saw they had a bad day in February 2022, losing 38 out of 49 newly launched satellites: https://repository.library.noaa.gov/view/noaa/53091

I wonder how these fledglings are doing, a satellite train seen from the ISS: https://x.com/astro_Pettit/status/1975689151467938057

Then there's this old chestnut on reaction wheels: https://www.esmats.eu/esmatspapers/pastpapers/pdfs/2017/bialke.pdf

NOAA Institutional Repository

The NOAA IR serves as an archival repository of NOAA-published products including scientific findings, journal articles, guidelines, recommendations, or other information authored or co-authored by NOAA or funded partners. As a repository, the NOAA IR retains documents in their original published format to ensure public access to scientific information.

@sundogplanets

Oh I hope they get far south again tonight, last night there was too much cloud cover, but tonight should be clear. Fingers crossed!

@sundogplanets I am so pissed we have clouds - very jealous
Farce Majeure (@[email protected])

Lights in the sky! #photography #CambridgeMA

Pixelfed
@sundogplanets
Northern Colorado sky illuminated by northern lights

@sundogplanets

Look at this shit from New Mexico

https://opalstack.social/@sean/115534600435984700

Edit: *shot

Sean Fulmer (@[email protected])

Attached: 1 image #Aurora visible in southern #NewMexico right now!

Opalstack Social
@sundogplanets AWESOME! We are socked in with clouds here so seeing your pics makes me happy and jealous at the same time. THANKS!
@sundogplanets I’d been anticipating your pics, I knew they would be absolutely spectacular!
@sundogplanets are our new alien overlords here?
@sundogplanets that's totally amazing!!
@sundogplanets I see hints of blue in there! Very cool!
@sundogplanets Spicy enough over here that some grid reconfiguration has been done
@sundogplanets damn, getting cloudy here in Nanaimo
@sundogplanets i think red means you can see it with the naked eye, yellow and green you'll need to use a camera view finder / long exposure image to see anything.
@sundogplanets generally that means cloud cover will show up here…
@sundogplanets Two of these plots stand out to me: 1) the density and 2) the magnetic field - negative/South is usually associated with Geomagnetic Sub-storms as it causes the Earth's magnetosphere to deform