AsymcoIn a July statement Musk said that Robotaxi would reach "half the U.S. population by the end of 2025". That was recently revised to "8-10 U.S. metro areas". With two months to go Tesla has not applied to operate in any metro area other than the launch in Austin where it's operating with human monitoring and teleoperation. In that market Tesla Robotaxi crashes at a rate of about once every 62,500 miles. Waymo's (no monitor/no teleoperation) rate is one every 98,600 miles.
Ted Herman@asymco Which will happen first, safe, full self driving or humans landing on Mars.
@tedherman One should distinguish between invention and innovation. I’ve made this point many times and many years ago. The gap between technology creation and its adoption can be many decades. Sometimes adoption never happens. Self driving is possible and it exists in some form. But success should be measured by share of driven miles not existence. Ideally it should create its own demand (market creation). Landing on Mars is not a technology. It’s possibly recreation or vanity.