In 2024, the following US states were considered “swing states” upon which the outcome of that year’s presidential election hinged: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.

Together, those states had a population of about 62 million people in 2024.

The total US population in 2024 was about 340.1 million people.

This means that nearly 278 million people, or about 82% of the population, lived in states that had essentially pre-determined outcomes for the presidential election that year.

If you lived in New York, you knew with near-certainty that your state’s electoral college votes would have gone to Harris, and if you lived in Alabama, you knew with near-certainty that your state’s electoral college votes would have gone to Trump.

And so on and so forth, for 278 million people. 82% of the country knew in advance, with varying but considerable levels of confidence, how their state’s role in the election would play out, regardless of any action they took.

And some people still get mad at people who didn’t vote.

@HeavenlyPossum @Flux An observation I found really helpful when discussing this:

There are more Trump supporters in California than Texas.
There are more Harris supporters in Texas than New York.

And you can go several levels deep like that. All those people essentially disenfranchised, at least at the Presidential level, by the current system.