“It's Giving Enron - by Dave Karpf”

https://davekarpf.substack.com/p/its-giving-enron

> the AI bubble isn’t predominantly giving off Pets.com or Global Crossing vibes anymore. It’s giving Enron vibes

Been saying this for a while. They're gonna Enron this shit until it explodes all over us

It's Giving Enron

On the AI bubble, and the various echoes of the dotcom crash

The Future, Now and Then
@baldur a lot of people are saying this - it's been on the media for weeks now, I can't quite understand this dynamic of everyone knowing it's a scam, but no one divesting - is it simply because they can't?

@nebogeo @baldur

I think it was @davidgerard who said a potential issue is that people think there’s nowhere else for investment funds to go. The bubble is the only game in town.

@rubenerd @baldur @davidgerard great situation! I'm wondering if there has been a historical precedent for this - most crashes have been fairly unforeseen if I remember correctly (everyone of course says they were obvious in retrospect, naturally)
@nebogeo @rubenerd @davidgerard Well, I have to disagree. Most major crashes over the past 50 years were thoroughly warned about in advance. Savings and loans crisis. Japanese real estate bubble. Dot-com. 2008. There's tons of records of economists, bankers, even legislators warning about those bubbles, waving concrete evidence of systemic risks. They get a couple of pieces in the news one night and then get drowned out by the constant drumbeat of irrational exuberance.

@baldur

When I was a kid a friend of my father's, an economist, used to always tell the same joke: "Economists have foreseen eight of the last five market crashes."

Which is to say, the problem is not that they aren't foreseen but that there are enough false positives that speculators feel safe in disregarding the warnings.