This is a fascinating article about AI-based productivity claims, with a ton of data to back up his claims. Definitely worth a read regardless of your stance on AI.

https://mikelovesrobots.substack.com/p/wheres-the-shovelware-why-ai-coding

Where's the Shovelware? Why AI Coding Claims Don't Add Up

78% of developers claim AI makes them more productive. 14% say it's a 10x improvement. So where's the flood of new software? Turns out those productivity claims are bullshit.

Mike Judge
@IngloGamesDev I just had a non-programner friend telling me how he vibe coded a neat tool for himself and I wondered how ppl like him fit this picture.

Then I remembered an old saying about the difference between programming vs software dev is that the latter involves people and time (I'd appreciaye if someone could point me to the original). So I guess there are many hidden, personal projects from ppl who don't even know GitHub exists.

Do I think this worth the cost? No. But it's still a pretty remarkable thing!

@buherator i have a non-programmer friend who vibe-coded an app they now want a professional to take over maintenance for, and ... well i ain't doin' that, though IDK whether it's better or worse for a client to be able to show you so-exactly what they want

at least they're aware the vibe-coded version doesn't scale and needs changes

@IngloGamesDev

@buherator
Yes, computers can do wonderous things and it's always great when we lower the entry barrier to computing.

That said, you're right about people: In a professional software project, the actual programming is a minor task *even of the programmers*. All those meetings just to find out what the actual problem is, how it fits together with existing things, which route to go, clarifying unclear requirements, communicating what you did - that's the real work here.
@IngloGamesDev