Molly WhiteSep 2, 2025
the betting platforms can't open markets on Trump's death for obvious reasons, but Kalshi just so happened to open up a "Trump out as President" market on Saturday
Show threadClaudiusSep 2, 2025

@molly0xfff as someone not familiar with the betting market: what are the obvious reasons?

If it's "basic human decency" I could understand, but in this market I don't think they usually care much about that?

Show threadikesauSep 2, 2025
@claudius @molly0xfff you accidentally create an assassination market if you allow people to bet money on when people will die
Show threadClaudiusSep 2, 2025

@ikesau @molly0xfff I understand that, but I also don't believe that betting platforms care all that much what their effect on the rest of the world is.

That's why I wondered.

Show threadMolly WhiteSep 2, 2025

@claudius @ikesau predictions markets are prohibited from offering assassination markets

(then again, they're prohibited from offering "gaming" markets too, so perhaps my "obviously" was a bit too old fashioned)

Show threadClaudius

@molly0xfff @ikesau oh, good thing there is a law against it.

But at the same time: it's really fucked up what kind of stuff we apparently need to put into law.

Sep 2, 2025 at 3:17pmWeb