Just for the record, Trump can’t do this. The Constitution is very clear that the “times, places, and manner“ of elections for federal office are determined by individual states (though can be altered by Congress).

The president simply has no role in US elections (except to sign into law or veto whatever election-related bills that congress might pass).

@mattblaze Throw into the brew the situation a few years ago when states tried to require that presidential candidates publish tax returns and were shot down by courts saying that states can not modify the requirements to hold office.

Although that is not directly germane to the voter ID situation, it does reflect a policy that when it comes to election stuff, the Constitution occupies almost the entire space leaving little room for additional Federal or state regulation.

With regard to voter ID - that is an issue that is hard to oppose because it is not irrational. I believe the D's would be better off not opposing voter ID but, instead, using those resources to make sure that every likely D voter has a proper voter ID.

@karlauerbach @mattblaze Providing IDs to every voter is a really hard problem. But the Supreme Court has upheld the right of states to require it.

@SteveBellovin @mattblaze I am far from having expertise in the art of issuing IDs. So I do not understand when you say "Providing IDs to every voter is a really hard problem."

??

(I do remember back when Dave Kaufman and I were trying to figure out operating system access control matrices that we always seemed to back into the question of "how do we know who the actor is?" [Especially when a person or thing was acting as an agent with delegated authorities from another.])

I also keep bumping into the old national ID card issue - and the fears that a person could be "vanished" by a government agency. But then again, we seem to be moving pretty close to a national ID card with things like SecureID driver's licenses.

@karlauerbach @SteveBellovin @mattblaze Printing the IDs is likely easier than getting them to people.... many lack the other documents needed to corroborate who they are. Then what is the state going to do, short of awarding them brand new identities?

@aarbrk @karlauerbach @mattblaze This is the key point: lack of what are known as "breeder documents"; error handling is the other big point. I outline some of the issues in https://www.cs.columbia.edu/~smb/papers/age-verify.pdf, with a more complete analysis in Section §V.C of https://scholar.smu.edu/scitech/vol26/iss2/2/. There's a very good analysis of the ID card issue in Crawford v. Marion Count Election Board, 553 U.S. 181 (2008), especially the dissents. For a general discussion of what questions would have to be answered (in the U.S.) by anyone proposing a national ID card before the question could even be discussed intelligently, see the National Academies report "IDs Not Easy", https://nap.nationalacademies.org/catalog/10346/ids-not-that-easy-questions-about-nationwide-identity-systems (I was on the committee). I should add: one of the things I learned while on that committee was that while the US has a pretty good national registry of deaths (the Social Security Administration's Master Death File), birth records are decentralized and are of varying quality and accuracy.

The problem falls disproportionately on certain groups: the poor, the elderly, the disabled, the homeless, etc. Quoting Justice Souter's dissent in _Crawford_: "The need to travel to a BMV branch will affect voters according to their circumstances, with the average person probably viewing it as nothing more than an inconvenience. Poor, old, and disabled voters who do not drive a car, however, may find the trip prohibitive, witness the fact that the BMV has far fewer license branches in
each county than there are voting precincts." Corruption can be a problem—in Hudson County in New Jersey, birth certificates from the county office were not accepted by the state because a scheme to issue fraudulent documents (https://hudsoncountyview.com/after-nearly-two-decades-jersey-city-residents-can-now-obtain-birth-certificates-at-city-hall/). Malice can be an issue: Alabama closed almost half of its motor vehicles offices, mostly in poor, Black counties (https://www.aclu.org/news/voting-rights/alabamas-dmv-shutdown-has-everything-do-race), and I have exactly one guess why.

RealID doesn't solve the problem, it makes it worse: you need more documents to show your identity and address (and if you're poor and unlikely to fly somewhere, you don't actually need it). I just went through this when I went to get a Maryland license after moving: how do I demonstrate that I live where I said? Proving my identity was easy, for me—I have a passport (though only about half of Americans do, and that's up sharply from not long ago; see https://www.apolloacademy.com/48-of-americans-have-a-passport/), NY license, Social Security Card (though it's a replacement I had to get not all that long ago because I thought I'd lost mine), New York City ID card, etc. But my address? For various reasons, I wanted to get my new license very soon after I moved. I hadn't received any bank statements, credit card bills, etc., at my new address yet. Cable TV is included here, so I had no cable bill. I did have an electric bill, and I suppose I could have brought the purchase deed for my condo (though that only shows ownership, not residence). Now translate all of that to someone who's very poor or is living on the streets. Passport? Hah. Electric bill for your park bench or homeless shelter? Etc.

Yes, some of these issues can be worked around, especially in states with good will. In Massachusetts, staff at a homeless shelter can sign affidavits of residence. But a lot does depend on state politics. In Texas, you can vote with a state firearms license—but not with an ID from a public university, even though legally those are government-issued IDs. (Aside: ~20 years ago, I had a Homeland Security ID card for my service on an advisory committee. When I got to the airport the first time after received that ID, I asked the TSA agent if I could use it. "You can, but we won't like it." I took the hint and dug out my driver's license instead…)

I could go on—as you can see, this is an area where I have worked professionally. The bottom line, though, is that while it's not a problem for the majority of Americans (the issues are very different in other countries)—and that likely includes the overwhelming majority of Americans reading this post—for a significant number of people it is quite difficult.

@SteveBellovin @aarbrk @karlauerbach @mattblaze Also, yet more reasons why UBI wouldn't be quite as easy as people think, even if the will was there.

@Dss @SteveBellovin @aarbrk @mattblaze For UBI magnitude of erroneous or fraudulent overpayments will probably not break any bank. And the world will not explode if a poor or homeless person gets an extra payment. That's better than someone not getting paid at all.

So in the UBI case, erring on the side of overpaying or over-coverage is probably safe for our society. Perfection in that system is not necessary.

I have long railed against the risking tide of abandoning human-based one-person-one-vote democracy to membership in group based "stakeholder" decisionmaking. That trend rather moots the need for individual IDs and replaces it more with claims that one is a member of one (or more) enfranchised "stakeholder" groups.

That trend towards "stakeholders" who can get multiple votes because they have multiple kinds of "stake" tends to slightly anesthetize me against the risk of an individual human having multiple votes due to fake IDs.

@karlauerbach @SteveBellovin @aarbrk @mattblaze It's a very difficult problem. I spent a lot of yesterday arguing the details of a UBI system versus a "lowest 50% of income" model. The UBI proponent had no idea how to prevent basic issues, like the rentier economy simply increasing all rents by the UBI, causing a massive wealth transfer to the richest in society, nor whether (illegal?) immigrants, children, etc would get it, nor could answer questions about the unbanked in society. The only answer they had was "taxes".
UBI could be a total disaster for the homeless or un/poorly documented - how would they even claim? And then rents have all jumped by +$ubi, leaving them even worse off.

It's an idea that needs careful work.

@Dss @karlauerbach @SteveBellovin @aarbrk

It seems notable that Monopoly, the game of capitalism run amok, offers universal basic income payouts whenever Go is passed. It's also a game in which wealthy real estate moguls are regularly sent to jail (though they can buy their way out).

@mattblaze @Dss @karlauerbach @SteveBellovin @aarbrk
TANSTAAFP
(There ain't no such thing as a free parking)