Does AI need to be perfect to replace jobs?

https://beehaw.org/post/21851579

Does AI need to be perfect to replace jobs? - Beehaw

As always, I use the term “AI” loosely. I’m referring to these scary LLMs coming for our jobs. It’s important to state that I find LLMs to be helpful in very specific use cases, but overall, this is clearly a bubble, and the promises of advance have not appeared despite hundreds of billions of VC thrown at the industry. So as not to go full-on polemic, we’ll skip the knock-on effects in terms of power-grid and water stresses. No, what I want to talk about is the idea of software in its current form needing to be as competent as the user. Simply put: How many of your coworkers have been right 100% of the time over the course of your career? If N>0, say “Hi” to Jesus for me. I started working in high school, as most of us do, and a 60% success rate was considered fine. At the professional level, I’ve seen even lower with tenure, given how much things turn to internal politics past a certain level. So what these companies are offering is not parity with senior staff (Ph.D.-level, my ass), but rather the new blood who hasn’t had that one fuckup that doesn’t leave their mind for weeks. That crucible is important. These tools are meant to replace inexperience with incompetence, and the beancounters at some clients are likely satisfied those words look similar enough to pass muster. We are, after all, at this point, the “good enough” country. LLM marketing is on brand.

No, what I want to talk about is the idea of software in its current form needing to be as competent as the user

You could replace me in my role with a 5 year old, train them to use the tools and you could get away with it but what I’m paid for is my ability to build bespoke solutions quickly then troubleshoot issues rapidly and with a certain succinct elegance so the solutions themselves don’t become future problems and/or can be easily replaced when no longer required.

I tried several times to ask chatGPT to give me a solution to a coding problem using zsh & associative arrays and what it gave was absolute bollocks, like it was scraping stack overflow for all the wrong answers.

I’m sure some idiot in a suit and tie will demonstrate to someone who can make the decision they I can be replaced by an LLM but very shortly afterwards the noise from customers about nothing working as expected and being absolute cludge when they examine it, will put their bottom line at risk.

Over the last 25 years in IT, I’ve seen a lot of outsourcing then the ‘buyers regret’ a little while after when they realise that what they saved has cost them extra in no-one taking ownership of issues & passing them around to different teams (or within the team), loss of accountability, no personal touch and business being ultimately impacted.

If someone wants to replace me with Sam LLM then good luck with that, they’re going to need it!