You see, Trump thinks he is sitting on an asset that every one wants, the American consumer. But, there are 340 million people in the US.

If you draw a circle around India, coastal China, and Singapore, that includes half of the world's population. 4 billion people. I did a deep dive on the world cellular phone market, and found that the US as a market is an after thought. Phones are designed for Asia/Indian consumers, the same people who build them.

US, less than 20% of most markets.

Name an American cellular phone company... Motorola? A division of Lenova, the Chinese computer company. The US office and brand name is just marketing for Lenovo rebranded phones. And I am still considering getting the best one I can afford, because they offer a good value/ cost ratio.

Those phones were designed for the SE Asian consumer. People who need value vs cost. Just like me, a poor American. Me and the world market are in sync. Good thing I am looking at an older phone, no new tarrifs.

@Urban_Hermit It's really weird reading "Best Android Phone" articles from US media. a) they think US$500 is mid-range, b) they don't have any cheap phones, c) they're missing so many brands!

My family all have Motorolas. And for the paranoid, I note that I'd much rather have the Chinese government spying on me than the USA government, not least because the Chinese aren't a member of the Five Eyes.

@thomasbeagle @Urban_Hermit
I certainly trust them more with my data, than most companies. Especially as you have no idea who those companies are selling it onto.

@thomasbeagle I mean, honestly, Microsoft systematically spies on every business in the world through their operating system, which has evolved to the point that owning a Windows computer makes you virtually a node on Microsoft's network. They meant it when they redefined themself as a 'Cloud' company. They are selling network services, over their network. It is hard to actually disable windows from calling home daily.

They don't even pretend anymore.

@thomasbeagle @Urban_Hermit I read that, then found this in my mailbox:
Favorable review of a $200 Motorola phone
https://ift.tt/o8Q6Xf9
A Budget Phone That Doesn’t Feel Budget—Say Hello to the Motorola Moto G96

Motorola has finally officially launched the Moto G96 phone with impressive features like a curved screen and affordable pricing.

Android Headlines

@thomasbeagle @Urban_Hermit

Hmm, isn't that exactly why those American consumers are a powerful lure, even if they are a small fraction of the world's population? They are a large fraction of the rich markets, where you can sell 500 dollar phones.

@Zamfr @Urban_Hermit The US market appears to be locked into Apple with Samsung as the main alternative. The way the US phone companies control the market for hardware is a bit unusual and doesn't lend itself to alternatives.

@thomasbeagle @Urban_Hermit

It's not just phones though. In nominal currency, the US accounts for around 35% of the world's consumption.

@thomasbeagle @Urban_Hermit
Yhat's US share of worldwide household consumption, excluding government-sector consumption
@thomasbeagle a lot of those articles need to be read as 'the best phones we can get affiliate links for.' There's not much margin in the cheap end.

@thomasbeagle
That's something I don't understand from paranoid US users. I'd rather have a foreign government collecting my data than my own government. The foreign government can't do anything to me with that data, my government can do a lot.

By the same token, between foreign governments, I'm choosing China over the US any time.
@Urban_Hermit

@Urban_Hermit
To be honest, most Chinese stuff is better quality, better value and more bang for your bucks, than anything else. Sure, they are largely subsidised. But, what isn't, in one way or another. New cars are only relatively cheap, because you pay through the nose for parts and maintenance later.

@pathfinder @Urban_Hermit

That was one of the main reasons GM not only stopped making the EV1 but took back and destroyed every single one…because they didn’t break down or need as many replacement parts, and they didn’t think that would be profitable enough.
Everyone who had them, loved them. Fought for them. We could have sleek fully electric cars for years before the shittier hybrids and uglier EVs came out.
Who Killed The Electric Car documentary is about this.

@pathfinder @Urban_Hermit they don’t want us to have nice things.
@JoBlakely @pathfinder big American companies are basically capture and extract schemes. The consent of the consumer by offering fair value is not their goal. I am shocked more people do not angrily resist. I do.
@Urban_Hermit @pathfinder same.
I find it hard to ‘resist’ some the decline of product value. My computer needs are not less costly, and don’t even function as well as they did for art 15 years ago! They insist on unnecessary battery purchases. But I have focused on traditional art last 5+ years because of this. I get so annoyed by how everything operates. It’s so malicious.
@pathfinder and BYD, the new Chinese electric car company that evolved from a battery manufacturer, that aims for a $10k car, is present in almost all countries except the US and getting rave reviews.
@Urban_Hermit
They are doing a range of cars that people actually want. Not just huge for the sake of it, but also the rest. Certainly it's a brand I'll be looking at when it comes time to replace my current car. Especially if they using the latest non-lithium batteries.
@pathfinder I have 240k miles on my Pontiac Vibe, made by a joint Toyota/GM plant, to Toyota quality standards. I hope it lasts until I can afford my next car, a high value electric.
@Urban_Hermit @pathfinder one of the reasons Chinese car manufacturers are cheaper than West ones is that they exploit slave labour
@Urban_Hermit I got their 5G 2024 for ~$80 from my MVNO last Christmas. Great value. Has NFC, even. Just had to disable the junk apps.
@Urban_Hermit and anyone that knows economics finds Trump’s analysis of anything business related is not grounded in reality or research. He talks out of his buttocks.

@Urban_Hermit Nevertheless, the US market still accounts for about half of total smart phone revenues. You can't say the US market is an after thought if it's half of revenues. That said, Apple has an outsized percentage of sales revenue in the USA.

As far as I know, there is no market where people are demanding what I'd want from a smart phone. And I doubt anyone would provide it anyway. Shuttleworth at least had an idea at one point of an GNU/Linux phone but I never trusted him either.

@Urban_Hermit So, for the foreseeable future, there will be no smart phones for me. Nothing but vendor lock in, and crude hardware hacks to run unstable hackish software on "rooted" phones, for whatever little that's worth.

For me, all Android and all iOS software sucks. I can't think of a single bit of software on any of them that I can bear at all.

@isaackuo sorry man, outdated statistic. I double checked before responding. Asian revenues seem to be nearly double the US and European revenues combined, from one of 3 sources I checked.

And Americans have doubled the length of time they hold onto phones before replacing them since 2020.

@Urban_Hermit Yeah, it's been too long since I looked.

I tried to look up 2024 numbers and they still do not match up with what you say. What I saw seems to be that 2024 revenues were only about as much as US and European revenues combined.

https://www.maximizemarketresearch.com/market-report/global-smartphone-market/43099/
https://www.precedenceresearch.com/smartphones-market

Smartphone Market Size, Share, Industry Trends, Growth Drivers, Opportunities, Key Players Analysis, Regional Outlook and Forecast Report (2025–2032)

Smartphone Market Size was valued at USD 2.10 Bn in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 5.54 Bn by 2032, at a CAGR of 12.9%.

MAXIMIZE MARKET RESEARCH
@isaackuo @Urban_Hermit I'm not American, I'm British (which approximates to American in economic terms). And looking at my iPhone—not the hardware, but the stack—their app ecosystem is stagnant. I've paid for maybe 2-3 apps in the past two years. Before that, dozens/year. Nothing is getting better except for the subscription apps (eg. CityMapper, Ivory). And not even all of them: Office365 is absolute drek, and expensive drek at that.

@cstross @Urban_Hermit Obviously you're not alone. I remember it seemed like everyone was excited about mobile apps some years ago.

But still ... was that really the case, or were most people not really into many different apps? I feel like maybe what seems like "normal" mobile phone users might be more accurately considered "power users".

My guess, maybe, is that most people spent most of their time on 1-3 social media apps, outside of the pack in apps.

@cstross @Urban_Hermit Obviously I'm not a "power user" of mobile phones, given my dislike of using them, but I do consider myself a "power user" of computers.

But in my case, that doesn't really mean all that many different software packages. Most of my "power use" is in the form of my own scripting and automation/integration programming.

@Urban_Hermit

Even worse for Trump's position: 40+ years of rapacious "investors" have made most of those consumers significantly less able to consume.
@Urban_Hermit not a surprising statistic...and quite likely that extends well beyond cell phones. China has spent the last many years getting into all of the SE Asia countries...while US while not absent have had no where near the presence and appeal. EVs another excellent example...BYD and other Chinese brands major players in Thailand, Malaysia, etc. Trump has accelerated the damage, or murdered outright, of every advantage that US had to advance its presence, trade and reputation