Mastodawn

There have been claims that NOAA/NWS did not foresee catastrophic TX floods--but that's simply not true. This was undoubtedly an extreme event, but messaging rapidly escalated beginning ~12 hrs prior. Flood Watch mid PM, "heads up" outlook late PM, flash flood warnings ~1am.

RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:teckhxpypg6v46gj7iysmmqt/post/3lt6heyboa22l

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Total Sonic Media Jul 5

@weatherwest.bsky.social - the Guadalupe near Kerrville raised 26 feet in 45 minutes. This was a historical flood.

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Daniel Swain Jul 5

Indeed, and some areas saw an even faster/larger rise. Still, possibility of significant flash flooding in this region was explicitly in NWS forecast; emergency warnings issued 1-3 hours in advance of flood wave's arrival described extreme/exceptional nature of imminent threat.

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Total Sonic Media

@weatherwest.bsky.social - if you have ever been out in Kerrville, then you would understand why a 1 to 2 hour warning would not necessarily get to people in a timely way. It's a really small town, surrounded by rural and undeveloped areas, with camp grounds scattered in this, all with spotty cell reception.