@ProgressiveLurker Yes, but they're already en route. The point is, ALL exports to the USA from China effectively stopped on April 11th. There are no more ships coming! For at least a month, even if the tariffs go to zero tomorrow! So: GIGANTIC supply chain shock heading towards the USA, with a duration of AT LEAST two months.
@cstross @ProgressiveLurker "...no more ships coming!"? If that's not hyperbole, I find it very hard to believe.
@cstross @ProgressiveLurker There will still be contracts in place and I suspect (but have zero evidence that) companies will still land goods and pay the tariffs. Sure, volumes will drop, but they won't stop. They can't stop. Surely?

@NAB @ProgressiveLurker

Look, you remember Brexit? Yes? Trump did a Brexit. Only he did it in less than four weeks, rather than dithering for four years. That's the simple version. The US economy is about to have a Brexit fall on it, very suddenly and very hard, with no preparation.

@cstross @NAB @ProgressiveLurker
He literally called himself "Mr Brexit" nine years ago

@cstross @NAB @ProgressiveLurker

I found it useful to listen to the Sleaford Mods song, "Dirty Rat"

With an eye to how it applies to the American situation, paying close attention to the lyrics,

"This is espionage!
And you're the self-saboteur!"

#espionage #selfsaboteur #sleafordmods