Charlie StrossApr 25, 2025

Reminder: Trump announced his China tariffs on April 10th.

It takes 30 days for a container ship from Shenzhen to arrive on the US west coast, 45 days to the east coast.

The supply chain shock will therefore really get started around May 10th and intensify through the month, reaching its peak around the beginning of June, as factories fall idle, warehouses empty, truckers are laid off, and supermarket shelves become barren …

So China won't budge before the 10th.

Why would they?

Show threadBrigitte Zaayman
@cstross I just hope that China will not give in by offering a trade deal to the USA advantage.
Apr 25, 2025 at 10:07amMastodon for Android
Show threadLazarou Monkey Terror 🚀💙🌈Apr 25, 2025

@Biggy73 @cstross the Chinese don't let idiots run their country so this shouldn't be too likely.

My country however, tripping over themselves for a dodgy deal from Trump.
Idiots.

Show threadBjørn NordbøApr 25, 2025
@Lazarou We don't know whether the chinese would elect an idiot or not, as they are not allowed to...
Show threadLazarou Monkey Terror 🚀💙🌈Apr 25, 2025
@bnordbo Democratic nations need to shape up, instead of descend into American style collapse, otherwise China's seeming stability under 'benevolent' dictatorship will appeal to others.