1. The 1Q 2025 Anti-Trans Risk Assessment Map is complete, and there are big changes.
I have issued a "Do Not Travel" for transgender foreign citizens.
Risk has deteriorated broadly across the US.
Transgender youth see changes in previously safe states.
Subscribe to support my journalism.
Anti-Trans National Risk Asses...
Anti-Trans National Risk Assessment Map: March Edition
At the two-month mark of Donald Trump's presidency, the risk for transgender people has deteriorated nationwide. The United States now carries a "Do Not Travel" rating for transgender people.
2. The US has been designated “Do Not Travel” for foreign citizens—a designation I do not make lightly. But recent developments, including Rubio’s visa directive targeting transgender applicants and the detention of lawful visa holders and resident immigrants, demand such a warning.
Full map here:
3. Domestically, the national risk level has been set to “Worst Laws Passed.” While no new federal laws have been enacted, Trump’s executive orders are producing sweeping overcompliance and are being treated as de facto law across institutions.
4. For transgender adults, many states have worsened due to newly enacted bathroom bans, ID reversions, and legal redefinitions that erase transgender recognition.
5. The national risk landscape for transgender adults in the United States has sharply deteriorated since the 2024 election. Multiple states—including Wyoming, South Dakota, Iowa, and West Virginia—have passed sweeping laws eliminating legal recognition of trans people and/or bathroom bans.
6. For Youth: The most significant shifts on the youth risk map are occurring in states once considered “safe” or “low risk.” Maine and New York have both been downgraded to “low risk” amid escalating conflicts over federal executive orders and institutional over-compliance.
7. In New York, NYU Langone—one of the state’s largest providers of gender-affirming care—has halted services for new patients following Trump EOs. In Maine, a high-profile clash between Governor Mills and President Trump over transgender sports participation has put the state’s protections in flux.
8. Arizona and Pennsylvania have also deteriorated a tier in risk: both have experienced clinic closures for transgender youth, and Pennsylvania’s athletic association has enacted a ban on transgender participation in school sports.
9. Lastly, EITM is an award-winning journalistic outlet covering LGBTQ+ issues every day. We have made this map for years now.
You can subscribe to support our essential work at
www.erininthemorning.com/subscribe.
Subscribe to Erin In The Morni...
Subscribe to Erin In The Morning
News and discussion on trans legislation and life. Click to read Erin In The Morning, by Erin Reed, a Substack publication with hundreds of thousands of subscribers.
Erin Reed
Kevin Ashworth ☑️