I spent hours trying to persuade US voters to choose Harris not Trump. I know why she lost | Oliver Hall

https://lemmy.world/post/21818288

I spent hours trying to persuade US voters to choose Harris not Trump. I know why she lost | Oliver Hall - Lemmy.World

Summary Gender bias played a significant role in Kamala Harris’s defeat, with many voters—often women—expressing doubts about whether “America is ready for a female president.” Some said they “couldn’t see her in the chair,” or questioned if a woman could lead, with one even remarking, “you don’t see women building skyscrapers.” Though some voters were open to persuasion, this often became a red line. Oliver Hall, a Harris campaign volunteer, found that economic concerns, particularly inflation, also drove voters to Donald Trump, despite low unemployment and wage growth touted by Democrats. Harris was viewed in conflicting ways, seen as both too tough and too lenient on crime, as well as ineffective yet overly tied to Biden’s administration. Ultimately, Hall believes that Trump’s unique appeal and influence overshadowed Harris’s campaign efforts.

Is this low unemployment and wage growth in the room with us?

Unemployment is “low” because shitty gig economy jobs are counted as employment. And wages might be growing, but are lagging far behind inflation.

The majority of Americans aren’t sexist and racist, they are living paycheck to paycheck and some unlikable rich black woman from San Francisco isn’t going to be able to relate to a poor white man from Nebraska or even a Hispanic dude from El Paso. And you would think “neither should a rich ass hole from NYC”, but he at least pretends to care about them. Democrats have been demonizing the working class for over a decade and they are starting to reap what they sow.

I voted for Kamala, but she was a terrible candidate. She made no attempt to empathize with the plight of the majority of the working class voting base and instead was more worried about capturing the vote of rich trust fund babies that are being misgendered.

And wages might be growing, but are lagging far behind inflation.

To be very fair real wages grew during Biden's administration, but probably not enough and definitely not for everyone.

I think that the problem is that the metric used for measuring the wages growth is an average:

In a society where most of the wealth goes to a few, an average is not necessarily a good measure:

I like this image from this article from the fed

They have the following remark below this graph:

For example, about 57 percent of the WGT sample had positive real wage gains during 2019, whereas during 2022, only 45 percent of people had positive real wage growth. Put another way, despite higher median nominal wage growth, the share of people with positive real wage growth between 2019 and 2022 due to higher inflation fell by 12 percentage points.

Real Wage Growth: A View from the Wage Growth Tracker

A Policy Hub: Macroblog post looks at wage trends through the prism of the Atlanta Fed's Wage Growth Tracker.

Wanna bet the places and sectors that are doing worse than median wage growth and inflation are rural and manual labor things? That second one especially I think could explain why some gen z men voted the way they did.
If I interpret the first figure of this article correctly, the 25% poorest of the population have always been ‘shafted no lube’ (pardon my economists jargon), but were about to have a wages growth above inflation; before the fight against inflation was finally won (well done, joe) and the slaves slaved again.