George Conway🧵: The fact that “All polling is based on modeling from past elections,” which Stuart accurately notes, is something most people don’t understand.
It’s a necessity of public-opinion research. Because if you call up 100,000 people randomly, you’re going to get a good sample of people who answer their phones—not a good sample of the adult population generally, or the pool of registered voters.
RE: https://www.threads.net/@gtconway3/post/DBl002ux4fo
It’s a necessity of public-opinion research. Because if you call up 100,000 people randomly, you’re going to get a good sample of people who answer their phones—not a good sample of the adult population generally, or the pool of registered voters.
RE: https://www.threads.net/@gtconway3/post/DBl002ux4fo
Pthjudy