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Griffin:

New NYT-Siena poll of downballot Sun Belt races:

Arizona Senate
Gallego (D) 51%
Lake (R) 42%

Nevada Senate
Rosen (D) 49%
Brown (R) 40%

NC Governor
Stein (D) 49%
Robinson (R) 39%

2/ Griffin:

New NYT-Siena polling shows VP Harris has put the Sun Belt back in play:

In May, Trump led Biden by an average of 10 points in these states. Now, it's effectively a dead heat.

Arizona
Harris 50%
Trump 45%

North Carolina
Harris 49%
Trump 47%

Nevada
Trump 48%
Harris 47%

Georgia
Trump 50%
Harris 46%

@GottaLaff If Harris does even a fraction of what Hillary did as far as organizing in California to make calls and bus trips to other states - which she easily should, as she has a power base there - then Nevada is going to go blue by several points.

Nevada was actually far more blue in 2016 than other states, largely because of Californian volunteers helping GOTV.

@KraftTea Yes! But if she can do that in more of the swing states, it will be even better.