I've written a longish take on the last couple of days, including about how what looked like (and initially was) Democratic panic over Biden morphed somewhere along the way into a rope-a-dope strategy against the GOP, and whether Harris can win (spoiler: yup):

https://whatever.scalzi.com/2024/07/22/biden-harris-trump-and-2024/

#uspol

Biden, Harris, Trump and 2024

Slow news weekend, am I right? Some thoughts on the current state of things, in no particular order. 1. I was not a fan of the idea of Joe Biden leaving the race, and I still have my suspicions tha…

Whatever
@scalzi Excellent points, as usual. And I think you're right. I think the decision wasn't sudden at all, and timed for maximum impact. No one is talking about Trump's ear anymore, and now Vance has to twitch for a week or so waiting to hear who he has to debate.

@scalzi I think you're also right about how white men hate her and will try to rationalize that hate as something else. I'm worried that we may have a repeat of 2016, when the white-heavy swing states in the Upper Midwest decided things because white-male support for the D candidate dropped several points (a whopping 12, in MI) over 2012.

That said, in 2016, we didn't have AZ and GA, and we don't have the demographic challenges there. And MI seems to be happy with their women leaders, now.