@slowe Would be interesting to match it up with economic depravation
That's where Reform seems to do well and matches my knowledge of the South Wales Valleys for example
Seems to be a reaction against the status quo as I can't really believe the working class of the valleys think rich, privately educated white men are going to their standard of living
@andydavies Yes, I think there will be correlation with people thinking they are reacting against the status quo by supporting rich, influential men.
It can't only be deprivation given that the deprived parts of London behave differently.
Perceived distance to power (and from Government power/spending) will be part of it.
But it is unavoidable that racism/bigotry is also a factor. Most of our politics is happy to stoke bigotry as a way to misdirect blame from the powerful.
@slowe According to a chart on the Electoral Reform Society's website, one Labour MP won with only about 27% of the total vote. Sadly, I haven't yet found who and where, but this is extraordinary.
@simon_brooke @slowe It was South West Norfolk (Truss's seat).
Election Maps UK has a good spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xU271-9pfNYR4k_bvpZC1gz9m4_Yc1_XJkhec4iywUk/edit?gid=1507551737#gid=1507551737
GE2024 RESULTS Constituency + 2019 Notional Result,Code,Region,Electorate,Turnout,LAB,CON,RFM,LDM,GRN,SNP,PLC,IND,WPGB,SDP,Localist,DUP,SF 33.8%,23.7%,14.3%,12.2%,6.7%,2.5%,0.7%,1.8%,0.7%,0.1%,0.1%,0.6%,0.7% 9699899,6818749,4112161,3502266,1935573,708759,194811,520308,203720,31288,35140,172058,2...
@slowe Do you know how that differs to previous elections?
Looking at the way the Tory vote was split in some constituencies (and even Labour in some cases) I’m wondering if the proportion was higher before
@slowe Crikey, fascinating. LD finishing second in only 27 is incredible, compared to elections in the past where they must have finished second in so many more seats. Thank you (pl.) for making and sharing!
Tempting to wonder how much more representative a set of two-member constituencies would be, depending on what the rules chosen for returning two candidates from the same party. (Even more members per constituency would be more representative still, obvs.)