I have no idea what Senate people think is going to confirm a whole bunch of new Biden SCOTUS nominees but it’s not this one with 47 Dems, 49 Republicans, and 4 Independents (Angus King, Bernie Sanders, Kyrsten Sinema, and Joe Manchin.) 2 of the Independents are reliable. 2 are definitely not.
I mean, I like the idea on the surface but it’s not going to happen until we have some much better majorities.
Sorry. I like living in reality. It’s less complicated. #IfMyMathIsRightAndItAlwaysIs
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IF (and it is a big IF) we can win the House and hold the #Senate without Manchin and Sinema (Manchinema?), then there’s a good chance we can nuke the filibuster and get some SCOTUS reform.
It’s a big lift, but it is not impossible.
But it all begins with winning #2024, up and down the entire ballot.
I hope I’m not hunting a unicorn!
Winning the House and keeping the Senate is my hope, as well.
Will enough of us do the work? I hope so.
Love "Manchinema."
@CherylBlueWave @Tengrain @TonyStark
This is so scary for me because statistically, it goes in cycles 8 years out of sync with the president. This has been the dominant pattern from post-WWII to 2016.
The NORMAL pattern is that for a president's second term, congress goes against the president's party, peaking at the end of the term, and the turnover of the presidential office, then 2 years into the next president, it starts moving the other way.
There is plenty of reason to think that the pattern won't hold (it certainly hasn't since the 2016 election) (such as the Scotus politicization and break from precedence, and Trumpian politics, which is a... "Break from the norm").
@peribotsarah @CherylBlueWave @TonyStark
I don’t think we can count on patterns holding. We are in uncharted waters and we don’t know the currents.
Tony, Pretty Much
Tengrain
CherylBlueWave
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