PadjoThe fight back starts now in Dublin. Quite a lead to claw back now but 🤞 #ep24
Calamity Joan 😷@Padjo Jesus yes - can anyone garner enough votes to bump that odious NB from the fourth spot?? ðŸ˜
Karl Stanley@clickhere @Padjo There are 75,000 votes to be redistributed from progressive women over the next 3 counts. I can't see him holding 4th place given that headwind.
@karlstanley @Padjo I'm hoping, but Smith and Daly could have more of the wild transfers we've seen across the counts to date.
Mark Maguire@clickhere @karlstanley @Padjo I’m a bit nervy. Could be a big finale with the elimination of either Cuffe or Ó RÃordáin and a huge amount of transfers going from one to the other and very few to Yer Man? #EUparliament #EU24 #EU2024 #EUParl2024
Ronan@MarkMaguire @karlstanley @Padjo Actually properly nervous now - on to the 17th count. Will Smith, Daly, Ó Riordáin or Cuffe's votes be enough to unseat N Boylan?? 😬
@clickhere @karlstanley @Padjo Very tight. There would want to be big coherent transfers from now on. Daly and Smith may transfer somewhat to Boylan as an anti-establishment vote and not enough to Cuffe or Ó RÃordáin due to them being seen as too status quo. On the other hand there might be strong transfers from Daly and Smith but just not enough at the end of the day. 😬
@MarkMaguire @karlstanley @Padjo Yes, that's my fear about Smith and Daly. They'll be all over the shop, with a load to NB. He may hold his place yet.
Koochulainn@clickhere NBoylan will get a few from Clare Daly, if/when she is eliminated, but it's hard to see any other significant source of transfers for him
@Padjo
@Padjo
@Koochulainn @clickhere I think the transfers from Daly to Boylan might be higher than a lot of people are assuming. Yeah she’s left wing, but much more importantly she positions herself as anti establishment, much like Boylan. There’s a lot of overlap there. Wouldn’t be surprised to see 40% of her transfers go to Boylan
@Padjo I think Daly->NBoylan transfers will be higher than a lot of people are assuming too, but they wont be enough. There aren't any other transfers for NBoylan left.
I think he is gone (thankfully)
@clickhere
I think he is gone (thankfully)
@clickhere
@Koochulainn @clickhere I hope you’re right!