MasterPain

Is Lemmy in a state of decline?

https://lemmy.world/post/15032876

Is Lemmy in a state of decline? - Lemmy.World

My post got removed from technology community for no reason [https://lemmy.world/post/15031322], so I am posting it here in hope of getting the full picture: From what I can understand, every factor lead me to believe that lemmy is in decline. Active users page now [https://join-lemmy.org/instances] [https://lemmy.world/pictrs/image/ac5046d2-9d64-4357-9a94-f29e437a0cca.png] Active users page at 3/30/2024 [https://web.archive.org/web/20240330095701/https://join-lemmy.org/instances] [https://lemmy.world/pictrs/image/e08b953d-7580-4471-aea3-82af56d0479a.png] The latest release from lemmy is at Jan 22 (0.19.3) [https://github.com/LemmyNet/lemmy/releases] In contrast, mastodon for example had several releases in Feb alone [https://github.com/mastodon/mastodon/releases] Some people on reddit hate the community here. [https://old.reddit.com/r/RedditAlternatives/comments/1cgt05t/lemmy_turned_into_some_weird_political_caricature/] I personally started seeing some of my posts on other platforms get more comments and upvotes. Am I wrong or is it really the downfall of lemmy?

May 5, 2024 at 12:42amWeb
Show threadJoeKroganMay 5, 2024
No users come and go, this is just how it goes.
Show threadsbvMay 5, 2024

I don’t think software releases indicate the health of the community.

Having said that, I do feel like there are fewer posts and comments. The communities I visit have a handful of users, which makes it a bit claustrophobic.

The small userbase means we don’t get much variety in viewpoints or content, but it’s enough for me.

I’m hanging on because I’m hoping it’ll miraculously start growing. Any day now.

Show threadFrostyTrichsMay 5, 2024

I think some of the “growth” will be lurkers that start posting more. The word of mouth or other social media growth will probably be very slow after the big surges of members from reddit.

The communities I browse seem more active or at least as active as they were a couple months ago.

Show threadAFK BRB ChocolateMay 5, 2024
If you look at the statistics, it doesn’t appear to be. Check out the last handful of charts on that page. Yes there was a big spike, but it doesn’t seem to be in decline.
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Show threadApostleOMay 5, 2024

You picked two random days, compared their active user counts, and concluded that it must indicate a continuous trend.

Yesterday, it was 60°F out. Today it’s 30°F out. Clearly, by next week, everyone in my town will be dead by freezing.

Experts struggle with statistics. Laymen, doubly so.

Show threadMasterPainMay 5, 2024

Here is 3/7/2024

Lemmy - Browse servers

Show threadApostleOMay 5, 2024

Golly! Three whole data points?! Now we are cooking with gas!

/s

Show threadRimuMay 5, 2024

I wouldnt pay too much attention to the number of servers - 90% of them have only one user or very few users and host no communities of consequence. Most active communities are hosted on about 3 or 4 instances.

In about 6 months all the admins of those tiny instances will be considering paying the bill for the next year of domain / hosting and will likely pull the plug.

This process doesn't reflect a weakness of Lemmy IMO, it's just because of a certain amount of centralisation has happened.

Show threaddrdMay 5, 2024
Not really, these platforms take years to develop and grow. A few single percentage points in daily active users at this stage is not a concern or a major indicator of a downfall to me personally.