Israel on edge for Iranian retaliation as Tehran views strike on embassy as an attack on its territory

https://lemmy.ml/post/14381969

Israel on edge for Iranian retaliation as Tehran views strike on embassy as an attack on its territory - Lemmy

>- Tehran views the attack as equivalent to an attack on its own territory, so a direct response on Israeli soil by Iran itself is a serious possibility > >- Countries including India, France, Poland and Russia have warned their citizens against travel to the region, already on edge over the war in Gaza ‎⠀ > “The revenge will come,” wrote Israel’s largest daily newspaper, Yedioth Ahronoth. “For the moment, the premise is that it will be very soon, in the next few days.” ⠀ > “It’s going to be very difficult for Iran not to retaliate,” said Raz Zimmt, senior researcher at Israel’s Institute for National Security Studies. > > “I still believe that Iran doesn’t want to engage in full-scale, direct military confrontation against Israel, and certainly not with the United States. But it has to do something.” ⠀ > Iranian sources and diplomats from the United States, Israel’s main protector, say Tehran has signalled to Washington that it wishes to avoid escalation and will not act hastily. > > But the risk remains that any response might spin out of control. ⠀ > Iran has missiles capable of hitting Israel directly and in recent weeks, Israel has bolstered its air defences, which have intercepted thousands of rockets fired by Hamas from Gaza and by Hezbollah from Lebanon. Archive link [https://archive.ph/Rz5gV]

What I still do not get is why they attacked the embassy of a country that always was clearly hostile towards them and has quite some military power. I mean right now with the war in Gaza, don’t they have enough on their plate?
  • the provocation was deliberate

  • they can position themselves as threatened/defending themselves (no reasonable person thinks Gaza poses an existential threat to Israel)

  • they can draw the US into defending them

  • this will dampen/limit US backlash against the Gaza genocide

  • Netanyahu needs the war to go on because it helps him stay in power and away from being prosecuted, US entry could achieve that

Gaza is definitely no threat, that’s why I thought that the whole world (politically, not necessarily the people) already accepted that Israel will not stop there until it has taken Gaza, West Bank and maybe even Golan (without the people that lived there of course…). With continued weapon shipments and other material needed therefore from its allies of course.

However, the US engaging in a war against Iran would be, well, I don’t know how to put it… some serious shit…

I don't think they need a full war, just enough skirmishing to take up all the oxygen. Kind of like how international attention went off Afghanistan when the US invaded Iraq.
That pattern sounds familiar, indeed. Thanks.