Mastodawn

MicroWave Apr 2, 2024

Biden campaign announces it will target flipping Trump’s Florida

Biden campaign announces it will target flipping Trump’s Florida - Lemmy.World

President Biden’s reelection campaign announced Monday that it will aim to flip Florida, targeting the home of former President Trump. Campaign manager Julie Chavez Rodriguez [https://thehill.com/people/julie-chavez-rodriguez/]said in a memo that investing in Florida is part of the Biden campaign’s pathway to 270 electoral votes. Trump won the Sunshine State in 2020 with more than 51 percent, compared to Biden’s 48 percent. “Make no mistake: Florida is not an easy state to win, but it is a winnable one for President Biden, especially given Trump’s weak, cash-strapped campaign, and serious vulnerabilities within his coalition,” she said.

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tron Apr 2, 2024

Honestly, maybe this is pure hubris here, but I think Biden is in for a big win in November. They have so much fucking money on hand they can blow it in Florida to troll Trump and Desantis. I think roughly 10-20% of the Republican party is, because of Jan 6, never Trump voters. We see Haley getting about that much support in these late primaries, even after she dropped out. We haven’t had an election with Trump on the ballot since Jan 6 I think this is the sole reason he won’t win. Moderates fucking hate him over Jan 6. So we have completely disengaged moderate conservatives, big donors are walking away because they don’t want to pay Trumps legal bills. State GOPs are bankrupt. And to top it all off, Trump is going to be in court all summer over __________ crimes

Meanwhile Biden has strong issues to campaign on: Abortion and threats to American democracy. We still haven’t managed to hit a recession yet, even tho its been predicted for the last 3 years. Things are improving, albeit slowly. Also what nobody in the mainstream is considering: Polling is completely broken. Pew research did a poll and found that 12% of respondents were capable of operating a Nuclear Sub (the reality is less than 1%). Online polls pay per poll, people are very clearly just answering question as quickly as possible to get the pay outs.

Online opt-in polls can produce misleading results, especially for young people and Hispanic adults

We examine how an opt-in poll may have unintentionally misled the public about the sensitive issue of Holocaust denial among young Americans.

Pew Research Center

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frezik

If Democrats try just a little, I think you’re right, and we could be seeing the complete collapse of the Republican party because of it. When special elections are flipping R+15 districts, and the reaction against the Dobbs decision has been so strong and sustained, then there’s a message that will work in every district. Meanwhile, Republican fundraising has already dried up, and what funds they do have are going into Trump’s mounting legal bills. The party has the wind knocked out of it, and if Dems would just fucking try rather than give them a moment to catch their breath, it would be a curbstomp.

But they need to fucking try.