climate disruption -> refugees -> conflicts -> strongmen

so goes the prediction. As an exercise...

Assume for the moment we know this will happen (or maybe you think it is happening)...

What can we do to stop each step of this?

@brewsterkahle If that's the way you see things, then obviously the thing to do is to slow down and maybe ultimately prevent the climate disruption. But that's what Greta Thunberg has been saying, and no one pays attention to her.

@arkiuat

This exercise, called scenario planning, is to take a possible future, then say for the moment "we know it is going to happen... so what do we do now".

so for the purpose of the exercise, we dont have to answer "do I think this will happen?"

Then we run this for other possible futures. Some steps are in common, and some are nobrainers...

it is a technique.

@brewsterkahle That's an excellent response, which I'm going to give further thought to, and I thank you for, but it feels a bit dismissive of what I was actually saying. I respect Thunberg's opinions myself, what little I know of their actual content.