climate disruption -> refugees -> conflicts -> strongmen
so goes the prediction. As an exercise...
Assume for the moment we know this will happen (or maybe you think it is happening)...
What can we do to stop each step of this?
climate disruption -> refugees -> conflicts -> strongmen
so goes the prediction. As an exercise...
Assume for the moment we know this will happen (or maybe you think it is happening)...
What can we do to stop each step of this?
This exercise, called scenario planning, is to take a possible future, then say for the moment "we know it is going to happen... so what do we do now".
so for the purpose of the exercise, we dont have to answer "do I think this will happen?"
Then we run this for other possible futures. Some steps are in common, and some are nobrainers...
it is a technique.