[meme] There is no one-size-fits-all solution to transportation

https://lemmy.world/post/12310450

[meme] There is no one-size-fits-all solution to transportation - Lemmy.World

A good observation from previous threads: “Whenever utility cycling is discussed on the internet, suddenly everyone has to move their fridge 100 miles in the rain

Yeah, it depends on the context. Is the thread saying “we need to build out far more cycling infrastructure”? If so, no argument.

Or is the thread a juvenile fuckcars thread trying to argue about how we can completely eliminate cars? Then people start bringing up the edge cases that still require cars.

Or is the thread one of the naiive ones trying to argue about how we can completely eliminate cars?

You say that as if those threads are actually a common thing, and not just a strawman accusation from the fevered dreams of car-brains.

Nope, go into a thread on autonomous cars and all you’ll hear is about how they’re useless and we don’t need them because we’ll just eliminate all cars before they’re ready.

I have literally never seen that argument made.

Usually, what I see in those threads are a whole bunch of people arguing that autonomous cars would be some kind of silver-bullet panacea for traffic.

Frankly, what you wrote sounds like a strawman misinterpretation of an argument I myself make: I argue that autonomous cars are not a solution, but not “because we’ll just eliminate all cars before they’re ready.” They’re not a solution simply because they’re still cars, and therefore take up the same grossly excessive amount of space as non-autonomous cars do.

They’re not a solution simply because they’re still cars, and therefore take up the same grossly excessive amount of space as non-autonomous cars do.

Yeah, the only things autonomous cars might reduce are:

  • Parking, but only if we forego our current private ownership model and everyone starts doing self-driving robo-taxis everywhere (unlikely)
  • Road fatalities, but only if the self-driving tech proves statistically better than human drivers in a wide range of conditions (jury is still out)
  • It’s the same fundamental problem that electric cars have: geometry. Cars – even if electric and self-driving – are simply grossly inefficient at moving people for the amount of land they require:

    Except that the jury is not “still out” on number two, it is simply a matter of time, engineering, and training before they are statistically safer than humans.

    Waymo’s cars are already safer than humans in their limited conditions.

    I agree that they’re already statistically safer in limited conditions; the key part is when/if they will surpass in a wide range of conditions, including heavy snow or the disorganized and often unmarked roads of developing countries, for instance. For what it’s worth, however, I do think the tech will eventually get there.
    Just an observation, humans aren’t able to navigate heavy snow and disorganized traffic any better. We guess where the road should be, what the conditions are, and where other cars are, and commit with full confidence in our lack of knowledge. It works OK, but there are infinity examples of it not working. Literally any logic behind navigating these scenarios is better that what we can do with our feeble meat suits.