I knew the Dunning-Kruger effect wasn't valid, but thanks to this post I finally understand why: "The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation"
https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation – Economics from the Top Down

Do unskilled people actually underestimate their incompetence?

Economics from the Top Down
@joeposaurus count me among the folks who don't get/agree with the argument in this post. I'm not sure it's wrong, but it feels off to me. No opinion on whether the DK effect is real though
I can’t let go of “The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation”

Organizing my thoughts regarding an argument about the Dunning-Kruger study and statistics in general

andersource

@jayalane @shauna @joeposaurus

This great, but the web address is wrong (its two addresses smushed together).

@jayalane @shauna @joeposaurus Thanks for this. This article did a really good job articulating — and putting into statistical terms — what I was thinking when reading the original: the dependent/independent bit is really *the* key insight.

I also share the author’s irritation with the original (and discussion around it). Part of a bad trend.

Incidentally, that link didn’t work for me but I clicked around and found it… at what claims to be the same URL? Weird.