Mastodawn

I knew the Dunning-Kruger effect wasn't valid, but thanks to this post I finally understand why: "The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation"
https://economicsfromthetopdown.com/2022/04/08/the-dunning-kruger-effect-is-autocorrelation/

Do unskilled people actually underestimate their incompetence?

Economics from the Top Down

@joeposaurus I love this article. This doesn't attack our observations, but it tears the math used to defend the concept to shreds

@ATLeagle @joeposaurus except even if performance and assessment are totally uncorrelated, as in this article’s model, that is DK effect, compared to the idea that people can assess their own competence. https://andersource.dev/2022/04/19/andersource.github.io/2022/04/19/dk-autocorrelation.html goes into it a bit.

Organizing my thoughts regarding an argument about the Dunning-Kruger study and statistics in general

andersource