The rods from God’s idea is insane and won’t work.

We had this back when the Russians announced they were going to drop conventional ordinance from space, and everyone pointed out that they would be lucky to hit the right continent, let alone Ukraine. In order to make this actually work, you would have to have an active aiming system. Which you know, is a missile.

You could use trajectory, distance, etc like we already do with long range rifle marksmanship but add some crazy sight that does all the math to make it work to avoid being considered a missile. It may end up being as big as one, but that divine sight works on my non existent whiteboards lol

Way too many variables to accurately fire an inert projectile through that much atmosphere without being guided at least part of the way.