I moved to Mastodon.socialNov 8, 2023

The Washington Post's Jennifer Rubin just said (on Threads) that last night's results show that 90% of political reporting is garbage.

That's because 90% of "coverage" is speculation and opinion. An email from the NYT "The Tilt" assured me that it was a good night for Democrats but that doesn't mean anything for 2024.

Rubbish.

Elections tell us how voters feel. Polls do not and pundits do not.

Show threadPadjo
@Teri_Kanefield pundits are completely useless for sure. Polls on the other hand are not totally useless, 538 were pretty accurate last time. They did a great breakdown of how well they did after the election: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-fivethirtyeights-2020-forecasts-did-and-what-well-be-thinking-about-for-2022/
How FiveThirtyEight’s 2020 Forecasts Did And What We’ll Be Thinking About For 2022

Welcome to the latest installment of what we’re hoping to make a biennial practice: an after-action review of FiveThirtyEight’s election forecasts, which in thi…

FiveThirtyEight
Nov 8, 2023 at 9:05pmWeb
Show threadI moved to Mastodon.socialNov 8, 2023
I don't think they are useless. But to say that we can disregard the election as an indicator and instead look at polls is silly.
Show threadMercurius GoldsteinNov 9, 2023
@Teri_Kanefield
Maybe it would assist the pundits’ thinking if they could be encouraged to think of elections as constitutionally-mandated opinion polls with a very large sample size and a very low margin of error?