New paper published today but written in early '22 (by me, Anna Williams, and Mallory Knodel) for Open Society Foundations.

A Thousand Cassandras details how digital rights activists act as bellwethers, warning against future and unfolding harms created by tech, but are often deprecated by policymakers in favour of industry insight

Despite being written 18 months ago, it lays out many of the patterns and behaviours that have led to industry capture of "AI Safety"

https://www.careful.industries/a-thousand-cassandras

A Thousand Cassandras — Careful Industries

What is the role of digital rights and campaigning organisations in forecasting the future? This short report seeks to bridge the gap between the theoretical discipline of foresight methodologies and how foresight happens in practice. Written for the Open Society Foundations (OSF) it aims to invest

Careful Industries
@rachelcoldicutt "these concerns are often overlooked by both policymakers and funders" - a story for the ages