Shane McGarry, Ph.D.
Church of Jeff
Cwnidog@jeffowski : I used to be a PMP. Might be why I’m not a conspiracy nut. If two people know a secret, at least one of ‘em’s gonna blab.
Numinon@jeffowski Of course it wouldn't work, so obviously it must be done by some marianas web level super AI! Everyone knows that the military has technology that's decades ahead of what's on the market today, you silly goose. Also something something aliens.
@jeffowski keeping secrets is inversely proportional to the number of people who are expected to keep it. Hard with 50 people, impossible with 500 people.
WeaselI think it's much less likely than inversely proportional, i.e. nonlinear power function.
The probability of the secret remaining secret is the product of the probabilities of all the people involved keeping it secret.
So if each person has a 95% probability of keeping the secret, the probability that no one out of N people divulges the secret is .95^N.
95%^14 < 49%
95%^50 < 8%
95%^100 < 1%
One Meat Ball ✔️That's basically my response to anyone who thinks the Dems "rigged" the election. Do they really think the Dems are that organized, competent, disciplined and efficient to pull off a nationwide "rig"? Who was the mastermind? Why hasn't even one of the accomplices spilled the beans by writing a book about how he helped pull it off? But if the Dems did plan and pull off such a masterful "steal" and keep it all secret, don't they DESERVE to be in charge?
The Doctor@Onemeatball @jeffowski They'd put it on their LinkedIn profiles, for Pete's sake!
RodneyPetersonTalentAgencyYou can’t even get these conspiracy theorist nutcases to believe in reasonably objective explanations, with circumstantial evidence, as I did to explain the Las Vegas shootings were an act of revenge of a demented addicted gambler who also happened to be a gun nut.
Instead, these fruitcakes want to believe in second shooters, helicopters, government conspiracies to shut down the second amendment, and every other stupid idiotic thing you can think of.
Goddamn it.
+bonifartius 𒂼𒄄@jeffowski
you don't need to manage thousands of people. you only need to convince them certain actions are "good", for them and society at large, and you can have them do almost anything.
you don't need to manage thousands of people. you only need to convince them certain actions are "good", for them and society at large, and you can have them do almost anything.
@jeffowski I have no experience in project management, but I know is a real headache (Ind Psy POV). UR right. But if a conspiracy is real it will need a lot of $$$ & resources.
eestileib (she/hers)Project management is hard.
Jira, PERT, seeing feature deadlines six months out before you decide on a language... All the shitty process your boss makes you do because he doesn't trust you. That's what makes it _suck_.
I got a whole lot delivered with a notepad file and task estimates of 1,2,4,8.
Tim Ward ⭐🇪🇺🔶 #FBPE@jeffowski I go for the cock-up explanation in preference to the conspiracy explanation almost every time. Simply because cock-ups are soooo much easier to arrange.
xs4me2And that is a fact…
TeflonTrout@jeffowski Or military operations staff
Billy SmithConspiracy theorists cling to the comforting illusion that someone is in charge. :D
VHG 🇪🇺🇺🇦
Maggie Maybe@jeffowski this is my best rebuttal to people who think the moon landing was fake. The amount of people who would’ve had to be involved with that, and after decades and decades nobody snitched? That’s completely unrealistic and ridiculous.
CurtAdams@maggiemaybe @jeffowski People who believe in what we are calling "conspiracies theories" know nothing about real conspiracies.