I disagree. The 2022 midterm was supposed to be their “red wave”, and it failed miserably. The most likely candidate to lose were MAGA republicans in that election, indicating that MAGA politics is no longer a winning platform. There’s also signs of cohesion in the democratic party to exploit the fracturing of the GOP, best seen in this legislative session from MN and MI. I’m not saying that it will be a slam dunk win, I’m saying that the odds of Trump winning are inarguably stacked against him. One failed election, other politicians on the same platform failing, multiple federal criminal prosecutions, a fractured GOP, McConnell and McCarthy pushing the party towards center, and a lot more factors point to Trump losing the election. Either way, this pledge will bite the GOP in the ass.