Mastodawn

Tim Hollo Jul 25, 2023

I'm finding it a little hard to work today with this in my head.

Antarctic ice extent is now 6.4 standard deviations below the mean. That is, I'm reliably told, a one in 13 billion year event.

We're about to see a lot of shit hit a lot of fans. And we are far from ready.

Business as usual is over. Politics as usual is over. We need to be putting our effort into building systems that can help us survive what greed and power and wilful blindness have wrought.

#ClimateCrisis #Antarctica

Show thread

Tom Quinn Jul 25, 2023

@timhollo should be million, not billion. 13 billion is almost 3 times the age of our solar system.

Show thread

Tim Hollo Jul 25, 2023

@TomQuinn yeah, it's a probability factor. The number is correct, and mind boggling.

IF all else were equal, the chances of this happening would be once in the age of the universe.

The point is, all else is not equal. As someone said on Bluesky, it's measuring the same ice in the same Antarctica, but the whole world is different.

Show thread

Kevin Leecaster

@timhollo @TomQuinn
The worst aspect of the measurements of ice coverage in Antarctica is that it falls right within the range of models we've been trying to get people to take seriously for decades.