Twitter will fall and the #OSINT community has no new home. We should collectively worry about it.

#OSINT practitioners need to be connected to the world, to the news, discuss with a lot of different communities. This is why Twitter was the perfect place.

My main scenario is:

- Less and less people will create content on Twitter

- Getting data from Twitter will be more complicated and so you will see less "OSINT investigations" publicly

- The OSINT practitioners will be divided in multiple small communities

- Fact checkers / Journalists will be lost. If the info is no more available on Twitter, they will need to find another entry point

- Big org like Bellingcat or big Twitter account like mine will stay big aka it will be almost impossible to "build" a big account

- The popularity of #OSINT we saw after the beginning of the war in Ukraine will continue BUT almost exclusively among young people (students, ...)

- OSINT will be used (badly) for political reasons (find opponents, dox people, ...).

- Platforms, websites are more and more closing access to the data. No data, no investigations.

- We are on the verge of multiple Internets (RuNet, ChiNet, ...). The era of 1 global Internet is probably over

- As a consequence, doing an OSINT investigation in one part of the world will need more knowledge but also will be more dangerous as countries will have more control on "their" Internets

- To finish, regulations. We will have more and more regulations about data and the use of #OSINT (especially in Europe). Politicians will (badly) try to regulate this space

Yep, imo the future for #OSINT is quite bad.

We need:
- A public space
- An international norm
- OSINT practitioners need to weigh on the political debate
- A coordination / partnership between #OSINT companies (life will be hard for all of us)