NEW: Labour ahead by 19 points.
It’s the highest poll lead we’ve recorded in 4 months in our weekly tracker: Lab 46% (+1) Con 27% (-2) LibDem 11% (+1) Reform 6% (+1) Green 5% (nc) SNP 3% (nc) 1,631 questioned on 28-29 June +/- 21-22 June Data - http://technetracker.co.uk [http://technetracker.co.uk]
Flavible:
Party Pred % Pred Seats CON 27.0% 164 LAB 46.0% 391 LD 11.0% 37 REFUK 6.0% 0 Green 5.0% 1 SNP 3% 32 PC 0.5% 3Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries’):
Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats CON 44.7% 375 27.0% 0 270 -260 115 LAB 33.0% 198 46.0% 271 0 +271 469 LIB 11.8% 8 11% 9 0 +9 17 Reform 2.1% 0 7% 0 0 +0 0 Green 2.8% 1 5% 0 0 +0 1 SNP 4.0% 48 3.5% 0 21 -21 27 PlaidC 0.5% 2 0.4% 1 1 +0 2 Other 1.1% 0 0.1% 0 0 +0 0 N.Ire - 18 - 0 0 +0 18
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Tenebris Nox