It's not religion that is driving the resurgent moral panic about LBGTQ people in the USA. You don't get a 15% shift beliefs in a year due to growing religious sentiment.
It's cynical opportunists trying to ride to power on populist sentiment by delegating and demonizing an outgroup.
Fuck every one of them.
@ct_bergstrom Joe Manchin is a "democrat", so there's that explanation.
But the drop isn't more extreme than several previous changes, so based on that history maybe we are looking at the margin of error.
3rd possibility (especially since the D % was never 100), maybe some of the previous "yeses" were highly apathetic and only offered as a sort of shrug.
@ct_bergstrom
The apathy possibility also rides along with changes in outward religious sentiment. It's always weird to find out how little some people have actually thought/read about a major subject. If the pastor hasn't ranted about it, they don't know how much they're supposed to hate it.
And of course all surveys are really only telling us the answer to "What would people say about _____ if someone taking a survey asked them?"
Carl T. Bergstrom
Nihl L'Amas