It feels like we’re on the brink of something

https://beehaw.org/post/565442

It feels like we’re on the brink of something - Beehaw

Covid, WFH, Musk, The fall of Twitter, Netflix plateau, Reddit Blackout, Crippling interest rates, Trump, Decentralisation, Tech Antitrust, Ukraine How are you feeling these days? We sure do live in interesting times

The development of AI as well.
My opinion on the AI (ML) is that is lift up all the bad things, most people are focusing on what it have given the general public with the most common dataset and forget about the more specialized dataset. For example, they have an AI that can do brainscans in MRI and convert it to video, aka we can scan coma patients brains and see what they are thinking while on coma, record dreams and other cool stuff.

This is the biggest worry in my head.

We will absolutely not be able to continue with our way of life. Significant portions of society will NOT be able to contribute “value” (the the capitalistic sense) to society.

What happens then? A bunch of young, lonely, disenfranchised people? Just bread and circuses with AI proliferated entertainment to keep the masses placated?

Or, the more optimistic post scarcity outlook. What if AI improves our lives so much anyone can live any life they want? (Very very optimistic)
Eh, I do think it's possible for it to fizzle out. People freak out over ChatGPT but I haven't had great experiences with it and question exactly what sort of job it can reliably automate out. Fundamentally it's just a quicker way querying the internet but with a loss in accuracy. There's the argument that the technology will improve and become exponentially greater - which is certainly possible - but there's also the possiblity of it just being overblown hype.
just try to keep my head down and focus on what I can realistically influence

It’s the only way to stay sane tbh.

I’ll often do a “digital detox” and remove myself from all events for a while. Unfortunately that’s not a privilege many are afforded

It’s scary how greed has made the world so hostile. It’s hard to stay ignorant about these issues because it’s just one search away on a phone. Yet, people choose still ignorance. I feel a little lost and hopeless sometimes even though I try to do my part. Finding a safe space online seems crucial for my mental wellbeing. Glad I can be here
Don't blame people for choosing to be ignorat. Empathy fatigue does not make you a bad person. We didn't envolve to process so much shit.
I try to focus on my local irl more. There I have some influence.
Hello friend, I also struggle with feeling alone in a vastness of apathy and sometimes hostility. I'm glad we are here together to shine our candles in the dark - when everything else seems hopeless, one thing we always have within is our ability to choose our mindset and reactions. Sometimes it can help to focus on the things we can change in the here and now, rather than those we have no influence over. The difficulty lies in telling which is which. It is okay to be tired! But I hope you can find the strength to march on - together we can make the world a friendlier, kinder and better place :)

From what I heard, the netflix password sharing change ended up being a net-increase in subscribers even accounting for the exodus caused by it.

So while they were going downhill for a while I think their password sharing crackdown surprisingly benefited them.

I think that's a tricky one; I technically still have an active account despite canceling. I feel like the fall-off will happen on people's next billing cycles

oh absolutely. how many people got blindsided by the crackdown and setup their free trial to binge the last of their shows fully planing to cancel before they get billed? They count as new subs.

I'm honestly finally looking at getting a NAS and going back to physical media the high seas

I guess we're transitioning from the fuck around to the find out stage
The annoying thing is that those who fucked around aren’t the ones suffering from finding out. They prospered while the rest of the world suffered from the consequences.
We gotta start paying more attention to the French way of doing things
I like the way they think
BURN THEIR HOUSE DOWN WITH THE ~~LEMONS~~ FRENCH
I humbly protest as someone finding out for someone's else's fuck around.
Jesus will soon return and take his chosen. I personally doubt that list will include me because while i think "god" may exist i dont think he pays attention to or really cares about us. He is just playing World of Tanksor something
If God was truly benevolent, why did he allow all those kids to die in Sandy Hook as well as allowing toddlers to starve to death across the entire country of Sudan?

Behind me, I heard the same man asking:

“For God’s sake, where is God?”

And from within me, I heard a voice answer:

“Where is He? This is where – hanging here from this gallows…”

Because there is no God. If there's something out there, it's not benevolent. Reality is far more than what we understand even in physics. Just read up on it on Roger Penrose.

I prefer this quote because, IMHO, a god does not exist..

"Is god willing to prevent evil, but not able? Then he is not omnipotent. Is he able, but not willing? Then he is malevolent. Is he both able and willing? Then whence cometh evil? Is he neither able nor willing? Then why call him god?"

-Epicurus

I'm a hard core atheist but those kinds of sayings always bug me as just being semantic word play. They essentially equate a higher being's power with the ability to do something that is impossible simply based on the definitions of the words themselves.

Can god create a square that's a circle?
No?
Must not be a god then!

Just silly. There's endless valid arguments against the existence of gods without having to resort to linguistic trickery.

Is he both able and willing? Then whence cometh evil?

This part is quite scary when you think about it. If he did exist, and was able and willing to help, but he didn't consider anything the world was doing as even a blip on his radar, what horrors are yet to come?

i am tired
This, more than anything. But I do try to fight that because I know that's apart of the strategy to keep people docile. (In a non conspiracy theory way?)
To be perfectly fair, the world has always been screwed up in a hundred different ways at any given time. It's just more immediately visible to every single person these days
True, at least now more people are taking notice. But those working against the populous are more brazen than ever too
I think the main difference is that now we have the technological power to fuck things up irreversibly (hope we still have chance against climate change, but im not sure a mass extinction could be prevented and not just moderated at this point)
To be honest, 2023 has feel relatively calmer than the past few, I guess covid being that all encompassing to life. Of the things on your list I do think AI is probably the first thing that comes to mind when I think of what we are "on the brink of". This leap that happened the past couple years in LLM was shocking enough, wondering what the next couple are going to look like.
It really does sound like a new version of We Didn’t Start the Fire.
We didn't start the fires, it was Shell and Exxon, BP and Mobil
The times we live in are riddled with problems but I have to continue on with my life regardless.
Billy Joel - We Didn't Start The Fire (Official HD Video)

YouTube
Bloodhound Gang - Fire Water Burn (Official Video)

YouTube
The 2020 Song - A Year In Review We Didn't Start The Fire Parody

YouTube
OP sounds like an R.E.M. song

(Verse 1)
Covid pandemic, life's tragic,
Work From Home, no more traffic,
Elon Musk in the space race,
Twitter falling from its grace.

Netflix plateau, lost its glow,
Reddit blackout, a serious blow,
Interest rates, an upward hike,
Donald Trump, another strike.

(Chorus)
We didn't start the fire,
It was always burning, since the world's been turning,
We didn't start the fire,
No, we didn't light it, but we tried to fight it.

(Verse 2)
Decentralisation, global reformation,
Tech Antitrust, digital conflagration,
Ukraine crisis, world’s at bay,
In this whirlwind, we lose our way.

Artificial Intelligence, the next experience,
Climate crisis, deadly seriousness,
Nazis, Fascism, old fears return,
Democratic backsliding, when will we learn?

(Chorus)
We didn't start the fire,
It was always burning, since the world's been turning,
We didn't start the fire,
No, we didn't light it, but we tried to fight it.

(Verse 3)
Automation, job annihilation,
Mass unemployment, rising desperation,
Homelessness in the city streets,
Wildfires burning, the heat repeats.

(Chorus)
We didn't start the fire,
It was always burning, since the world's been turning,
We didn't start the fire,
No, we didn't light it, but we tried to fight it.

(Bridge)
From the pandemic to the space frontier,
Through the crises that we all fear,
From the ashes, we'll still rise,
In our hearts, the human spirit never dies.

(Chorus)
We didn't start the fire,
It was always burning, since the world's been turning,
We didn't start the fire,
But when we are gone, will it still burn on, and on, and on, and on...

(Outro)
We didn't start the fire,
But we hold the power, in this defining hour,
We can tame this fire,
Though we didn't light it, we have the strength to fight it.

Considering the COVID pandemic is still mass infecting people (with somewhere around 1/10 people getting Long-COVID, and some percentage of those people being disabled long-term) and now it's leading to weakened immune systems and fungal infections, my guess is another mass health-disruption event is what we're on the brink of.

Or maybe mass homelessness and poverty. Does anyone remember that two-parter from Deep Space Nine where they go back in time with ghettos in San Francisco? Past Tense. It was set in 2024.

I'm fine. Covid isnt causing chaos anymore, WFH is optional (thankfully, i don't like it), I don't really care about Twitter or Netflix, reddit is a shame but there are alternatives, my mortgage rate is fixed at 1.8% for 30 years, Trump is on the other side of the ocean...

Most of the sh*t going on the in the world doesn't have very big impact on my life. Some do, but when I can't influence it (on my own) I try to not let it affect my mood.

30 years fixed at 1.8%?! Damn you you lucky bastard, that was never even at option over here lol
Rates were ridiculously low in 2020. 10 years would have been 1.3%. The mortgage rules and requirements are quite strict, so banks can keep the rates low.

At this point we should have a "We Didn't Start The Fire" parody for all the nonsense that's happend over the last 3 years. Feels loke the Roaring 20s, but just more cbaotic and socially conscious.

All I'm trying to do is just find myself and enjoy life, and I'm a little anxious to see where we end up. Hopefully it's somewhere where we come out better as a society.

Wouldn't be a parody, just a reboot... ugh... reboots...
This time it's the Reeling 20's
Oh god 😟 Y'all have a point 😭
The cyberpunk stuff I read back in the 90s is happening now. We are in cyberpunk.
Wintermute is going to destroy Tassier-Ashpool, won’t it?

Ok, so I live in a third world country but I am from America.

My wife and I moved to a new part of the city and were walking around to check out the area.

Well there is this massive condo complex. Like earlier 30-40+ floors. There have to be thousands of units and there are a few building like this in their compound.

It’s right next to the river and you walk past them when you walk over the bridge.

Well directly on the other side of the river there were a few young teenagers picking the fruit or maybe it was the leaves off of the tree for food.

It was super dystopian.

Additionally at night most of the lights in that condo complex are off. The building must be 95% empty.

Depressing walking past the newly-built housing that is out of reach for almost all of us. Family member lived in a modest apartment with their partner in 2019. They moved out, we check it now years later, it's almost twice as expensive per month to rent.

The country where I live, prices have not really increased but there are tons of vacant units.

I still get energy bill alerts for the old property I lived in and close to a year later it is vacant.

I think property developers made all these condos and sold them to people who wanted an investment property. But they sell price was too high so the rent price is too high.

Since there are all these vacant places, rent is cheaper than buying by a significant amount.

If I purchased my current condo with 20% down, my rent would more than double.

Empty overpriced housing makes me sick honestly. It stifles the economy and social mobility of everyone so much as well (by design probably lol).

When they offered to sell the house, at first I was excited, but then then the selling price was like 3x more than I expected. I didn’t even respond to the realtor. There are also a bunch of vacant units for run and for sale.

I think the price is so high because rich people were tricked into buying an investment property which they could not rent and now they are stuck with a huge loan.

And I don’t mean rich like they can afford to lose 200k. I mean like upper middle class who really need to sell for the amount of their loan.

I had a thought about all the alien stuff and if its true why the US government kept it a secret, and I was like "oh of course, its because the government is made of aliens"

I had to take a moment and think about how plausible that now feels lol.

It’s far more plausible that they’re all just profit driven sociopaths
Absolute sociopaths, Whatever we are the brink of, I just hope the people come out better on the other side. Yes I know lizard aliens running the state sounds crazy, but today it sounds less crazy lol. Alas, we live in such a boring dystopia.
Can we not do the whole "evil is caused by mental illness" thing please? It was annoying enough seeing it on Reddit. ~Cherri
Sorry, I did edit that out of my comment there. did not mean any form of abalism in my comment. I did not consider being a sociopath a mental illness, now I know better. thank you.