ProPublica

Climate Crisis Is on Track to Push One-Third of Humanity Out of Its Most Livable Environment
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As conditions that best support life shift toward the poles, more than 600 million people are already living outside of a crucial “climate niche,” facing more extreme heat, rising food scarcity and higher death rates.

#Climate #ClimateChange #ClimateCrisis #Environment

https://www.propublica.org/article/climate-crisis-niche-migration-environment-population?utm_medium=social&utm_source=mastodon&utm_campaign=mastodon-post

Climate Crisis Is on Track to Push One-Third of Humanity Out of Its Most Livable Environment

As conditions that best support life shift toward the poles, more than 600 million people are already living outside of a crucial “climate niche,” facing more extreme heat, rising food scarcity and higher death rates.

ProPublica
Jun 6, 2023 at 1:59pmWeb
Show threadAlbert CardonaJun 8, 2023

@ProPublica

"Quantifying the human cost of global warming" by Lenton et al. 2023.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-023-01132-6

"We show that climate change has already put ~9% of people (>600 million) outside this niche. By end-of-century (2080–2100), current policies leading to around 2.7 °C global warming could leave one-third (22–39%) of people outside the niche. Reducing global warming from 2.7 to 1.5 °C results in a ~5-fold decrease in the population exposed to unprecedented heat (mean annual temperature ≥29 °C)."

#GlobalWarming #ClimateChange #ClimateRefugees

Quantifying the injustice – see this graph:

Quantifying the human cost of global warming - Nature Sustainability

As an alternative to monetary estimates, this study expresses the costs of climate change in terms of numbers of people left outside the ‘human climate niche’, which reflects the historically highly conserved distribution of human population density relative to mean annual temperature.

Nature
Show threadProf Dr Richard S.J. Tol MAEJun 10, 2023
@ProPublica that paper is greatly exaggerated https://ideas.repec.org/p/sus/susewp/0223.html
The climate niche of Homo Sapiens

I propose the Dominicy-Hill-Worton estimator to estimate the current climate niche of Homo Sapiens and our croplands. I use this to extrapolate the degree of unprecedentedness of future climates. Wort