#Ukraine May 17, updates from @escortert. Macette Escortert publishes his report in two parts -> PdS1, #Donbass Theater -> PdS2, #Zaporizhzhya #Crimea #Russia Here is the PdS1 for today 👇
1/n
#WarInUkraine D+448 (17/05) PdS2 - Theaters
#Zaporizhzhya
#Crimea
#Russia
1/Front X, Hyp. Z, deep strikes
2/Backstage, #Russia totalitarian in depth
F16
2/n
Time machine,
If you missed #DLXVII-II of #WarInUkraine, here it is👇
(NB because I didn't translate it, it's in 🇫🇷 )
Unroll available on Thread Reader
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1658460322032762881?s=20
3/n
2/Front X, Hyp. Z,
(i) TDB
🟢Weather
🟢Test of AA defenses at borders, success
🟠Test & model front line, generalized
🟠Preparation in depth, started.
-destroy PC, EW, DM, logistics
-collapse fuel chain
🟠Deception op, started
4/n
🔴Offensive, X Front, Y Axis
(ii) Weather Ambient,
6/n
(iii) deep strikes 🇺🇦
They are concentrated in 3 triangles on the X front:
- #Tokmak-#Polohy-#Melitopol
- #Mariupol-#Berdyansk-#Volnavakya👇
- Sebastopol-#Kerch-#Dranzhoi
Oil depot near #Berdyansk (#Berestove)
7/n
(iv) deep strikes 🇷🇺
Last night👇, aerospace forces 🇷🇺 fired 6 "hypersonic" Kh-47 "Kinzhal" air-to-surface ballistic missiles, 9 "Kalibr" cruise missiles, 10 Iskander-M and S-400 ballistic missiles, and drones
Unroll available on Thread Reader
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1658460340584083457?s=20
8/n
These vectors followed multiple trajectories in order to deceive the AA Defense ("Patriot"), which was the main objective of the firing
A Patriot system has been "damaged", which can range from "it's fixed in 24 hours" to "it's fixed in... a long time"
9/n
But the modularity 👇of the Patriot system requires multiple missiles to destroy the whole thing, which argues for limited damage
credit @GagnierRomain
10/n
Why did the 🇷🇺 manage to hit "Patriot"?
-the detection and tracking radars would have played a role, so powerful that when they come on line, they are like beacons
- the RS would have also played a role in the tracking of the "Patriot".
11/n
The good news is that the 6 invincible "Kinzhal" have been taken down
3 engineers 🇷🇺 of the program were arrested👇, confirming the success of the intercept
#Putin was bluffing... but he may have been bluffed himself!
13/n
(ii) #Russia, sabotage
Sabotages in #Russia have, according to #Vertska👇, reached 57 in five months vs 21 in 2022!
https://verstka.media/chislo-diversiy-v-rossii-rezko-vyroslo-v-mae
14/n
Two more examples: the Moskvich plant (👇pict) , in the suburbs of #Moscow and an electric substation in #Krasnodar (👇twitter link)
15/n
Many thanks @escortert for all the job done for these updates
Source
https://twitter.com/escortert/status/1658826452148670465
applepie110101
