1. Turkey is in the middle of an extremely close and consequential election. There will be a second round of voting in two weeks.

Make no mistake: @[email protected] is helping the authoritarian government cling to power by censoring tweets from its political opponents

🧵

@juddlegum I only object to the first point: "extremely close" isn't in the cards anymore.

Erdogan will win this.

Kılıçdaroğlu can't, he should've snatched the lead in the first round to win but that didn't happen. He underperformed compared to polls by so wide margin. Turkish analysts don't see him anymore winning.