When I was five my father brought home a little store-bought plastic magic trick that appeared to convert one silver dollar into two.

The magic trick was cool, but my thoughts immediately went to more practical matters. We were going to be immeasurably wealthy! I just needed some time with the magic box and we've be rolling in silver.

Generative AI feels like magic, too, and a lot of people seem to think it'l be an endless font of epistemic wealth.

By five, I had already learned the hard way.

@ct_bergstrom Not all magic tricks are created equal. Consider the child in the 1800s whose parent comes home with an electric lightbulb. The light shines due to some invisible, apparently magical force.

I don't think electricity has disappointed or fizzled out since its initial "magic trick" stage.