Theodore LytrasApr 18, 2023

Before people start sensationalizing excess mortality (again), let's all first take a deep breath and remember:

1⃣ There are many ways to estimate excess mortality, and that of Eurostat is one of the simplest, yet by no means the most reliable.
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RT @EU_Eurostat
🆕No excess mortality in the EU as a whole in February.

For the first time since February 2020, excess mortality fell to -2% in February 2023.

Among the countries that had …
https://twitter.com/EU_Eurostat/status/1648250514574811136

EU_Eurostat on Twitter

“🆕No excess mortality in the EU as a whole in February. For the first time since February 2020, excess mortality fell to -2% in February 2023. Among the countries that had positive values, 🇬🇷Greece and 🇨🇾Cyprus recorded the highest rates (both +12%). 👉 https://t.co/IUxHH2XDbF”

Twitter
Show threadTheodore Lytras

2⃣ In addition, to draw reliable conclusions one should look at the big picture, not a single month (or week).

Given 1⃣+2⃣, here's the #EuroMOMO estimates of excess mortality.
Feb 2023 is week 5-8/2023. Where's the big excess for 🇨🇾/🇬🇷?? Yeah, right...

Apr 18, 2023 at 4:01pmWeb
Show threadTheodore LytrasApr 18, 2023

(Full disclosure: I'm alternate contact point for 🇨🇾 in the EuroMOMO network...)

My advice to the world: please leave estimation and interpretation of excess mortality to the scientists. It's fairly complicated already -- doesn't need the extra buzz.